GAR Capital Podcast

Markets chopping but have we priced in the worst already?The S&P 500 is holding above its 200-day moving average with no real panic, credit markets stable, and financials bouncing. That keeps the short-term bias cautiously bullish.  Gold just flushed hard on speculative excess and is setting up for a potential bounce. We break down the GLD calls, key levels, and what needs to happen next.Crude oil remains the wildcard near $100, but a pullback could ease inflation pressure and fuel the next leg higher in equities.We also cover the rotation trade developing from energy into tech, plus key setups in names like Palantir, Amazon, Palo Alto, and FedEx.With OPEX ahead, expect volatility. Stay focused on levels, not headlines.For informational and educational purposes only.

This week on the GAR Capital Podcast, Carlos Garcia breaks down the five biggest macro stories driving global markets right now, including rising geopolitical tensions, major economic data surprises, and increasing volatility across asset classes.In this episode we cover:• Oil prices surging as tensions escalate between the United States and Iran• A weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report and what it means for economic growth• The potential inflation impact of higher energy prices and supply disruptions• Stock market volatility following the economic data release• Cross-asset reactions across commodities, equities, and cryptocurrenciesCarlos explains how these developments affect the broader macro environment, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and risk sentiment across global markets.As always, the focus is on technical levels, disciplined risk management, and actionable insights for traders and investors navigating headline-driven volatility.🌐 Market insights and research: https://www.gar.capital💬 Join the GAR Capital community: https://www.gar.capital/free-signup⚠️ This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

This week’s episode breaks down a volatile market driven by geopolitical escalation, stubborn inflation, and a powerful shift in sector leadership. US Israel strikes on Iran sent crude oil surging and triggered a broad risk off move across equities, while hotter than expected PPI data intensified stagflation fears and reduced the odds of near term Fed rate cuts.We examine why Nvidia’s blowout earnings failed to spark upside momentum, whether the semiconductor trade has reached peak positioning, and why capital continues rotating from growth into energy, industrials, utilities, and other value sectors. High yield credit and financial weakness are flashing liquidity warnings beneath the surface, adding another layer of risk.We also discuss the Supreme Court tariff ruling, upcoming economic catalysts, and key technical levels in the S&P 500 that traders must watch closely.If you care about macro risk, sector rotation, and protecting capital in headline driven markets, this is a must listen.

In this week’s GAR Capital Podcast, Carlos Garcia breaks down the biggest stock market and macro headlines from February 15th–22nd  The U.S. Supreme Court struck down sweeping global tariffs in a 6–3 decision, triggering a relief rally across major indices. But the story didn’t end there. President Trump quickly responded with new 10%–15% global tariffs, reintroducing political and market uncertainty.We also cover:• NASDAQ’s 1.5% weekly gain and sector rotation trends• Mixed semiconductor and Mag 7 performance• Walmart’s sharp decline and valuation concerns• December PCE inflation accelerating to 2.9% YoY• Federal Reserve policy outlook amid sticky inflation• Q4 2025 GDP slowing to 1.4% and rising stagflation risks• Ongoing Iran–US geopolitical tensionsWith inflation firm, growth slowing, and valuations elevated, investors face a critical question: do rates fall to justify 30x forward earnings, or do stocks reprice lower?This episode delivers concise, institutional-level market context for both active traders and long-term investors.Subscribe for weekly macro insights, sector rotation analysis, and disciplined market breakdowns from GAR Capital.

This week’s market narrative is more nuanced than the headlines suggest.Inflation cooled again in January, reinforcing soft-landing hopes, while the labor market surprised to the upside with stronger-than-expected job growth. At the same time, AI disruption fears continued to pressure software and tech stocks, driving rotation into value and defensive sectors.In this episode, I break down:• Why cooling inflation supports stability — but not automatic upside• How a resilient labor market affects the Fed’s rate outlook• The ongoing repricing in software and AI-related names• Why the S&P 500 is stalling below 7,000• What sector rotation tells us about liquidity and risk appetiteThe key theme this week isn’t panic — it’s transition. Capital isn’t leaving the market. It’s reallocating.As always, I share what I’m watching next and how I’m positioning into the week ahead.