Episode 120: Dinny McMahon on China’s Hidden Crisis
China looks unstoppable from the outside — record exports, dominant EVs, and a relentless push into AI, robotics, and advanced manufacturing.But beneath the surface, a very different story is unfolding.In Episode 120 of The Puck, Jim Baer sits down with Dinny McMahon — former Wall Street Journal Beijing journalist and author of China’s Great Wall of Debt — to unpack what’s really happening inside the Chinese economy.China didn’t have the financial crisis many expected. Instead, it chose a different path — one that’s led to quiet austerity, stressed local governments, and weakening confidence across households and businesses. At the same time, Beijing is making a massive strategic pivot: away from property and consumption, and toward productivity, innovation, and industrial dominance.The question is whether that model can actually deliver.In this episode:Why China avoided a financial crisis — and what replaced itThe “hidden austerity” hitting local governments and the private sectorThe collapse of the property-driven growth modelWhy China is rejecting consumption-led growthThe bet on productivity, AI, and industrial upgradingInnovation vs. imitation — can China create at the frontier?What China’s strategy means for the U.S. and global marketsThe real goal behind China’s currency push and de-dollarizationThis is not the China story you hear every day — but it may be the one that matters most.