High Low Sports

Week 1 of the NFL season produced the highest-scoring opening weekend in league history. DJ and Kelcey survived it — barely — and are back to make sense of everything. This week on the High Low Sports Podcast: the biggest overreactions from NFL Week 1, a full college football chaos recap headlined by Texas defeating Ohio State and the simultaneous implosions of Oregon and Oklahoma, the inaugural edition of Kelcey's Heisman Hierarchy, two Better Than the Rest MVPs, an upset pick powered by Outlier, and the top prop of the weekend. On the overreaction front, DJ goes all in on the theme of the weekend: offense is back. The NFL just posted its most explosive opening week in history. The Bears and Panthers combined for 91 points — Ben Johnson almost went for two to push it to 60. Kenneth Walker ran 173 yards on a Monday night and won fantasy leagues for people who were already asleep. Kelcey's overreaction: the New York Giants are legitimate. The trio of Nabers, Dart, and Scadaboo ran the ball directly down the Cowboys' throats all game. Isaiah Likely scored twice in his debut. Matt Nagy, Greg Roman, and Brian Callahan — three offensive minds who have each been fired from previous posts — somehow combined to produce one of the cleanest game plans of the week. In college football, Texas took down Ohio State in one of the great fourth-quarter comebacks of the young season, with Arch Manning leading the final drive. Oklahoma got humiliated at Michigan. Oregon looked unrecognizable. All three had been top-11 teams in the AP Poll. Now only Ohio State remains ranked, sitting at sixth after a five-spot drop. Kelcey's inaugural Heisman Hierarchy puts Darian Mensah of Miami at No. 1, Malachi Tony at No. 2, Arch Manning at No. 3 for that fourth-quarter performance alone, and Jeremiah Smith at No. 4 after a 9-138-2 showing despite two drops. Devin Dampier of Utah gets an honorable mention — worth watching as the season develops. For MVPs of the week, Kelcey goes Kenneth Walker on 23 carries for 173 yards and two scores. DJ gives the award to Bears right tackle Darnell Wright — who anchored a running game that averaged eight yards per carry to his side 65 percent of the time and never allowed a sack. The upset pick: Troy Trojans +26.5 at Missouri at plus odds. Five-and-one ATS in their last six road games. Nine of ten against the spread overall. Big spread, underdog, plus odds — the exact situation Outlier surfaces. The top prop: Kenneth Walker over 79.5 rushing yards. He just gave you 173 against Denver. The Colts allowed nearly 200 rushing yards to the Ravens and are playing on their own turf in Indianapolis. DJ is putting multiple units on this one. 🎯 Try Outlier free for 30 days — https://start.outlier.bet/bellyup2026🏆 TrophySmack — https://www.trophysmack.com/?sca_ref=2706815.RGPa8UtYlW📊 BettorVision — https://www.bettorvision.us🏈 Belly Up Fantasy & Gaming — https://x.com/BellyUpFantasy ⚠️ Must be 21+. Bet responsibly. Call 1-800-MY-RESET for confidential support. Follow us: @HighLowSports on X and Instagram | Full episodes at bellyupsports.com/high-low-sports-podcast

The August NFL preview series is over. DJ and Kelcey picked every game in every division — all 272 of them — and now the picks come due. The final episode of the High Low Sports Podcast's 2026 preview series covers everything: full playoff brackets, Super Bowl predictions built on 20 years of NFL historical patterns, two season-long prop bets powered by Outlier, and every major award handed out before kickoff. DJ has the Chicago Bears winning the Super Bowl. His reasoning pulls from George Lucas — history is like poetry in that it rhymes — and maps a 20-year cycle: 2004 Patriots, 2024 Eagles; 2005 Steelers with a young second-year QB, 2025 Seahawks beating a young second-year QB; 2006 Peyton Manning finally breaking through against the Bears. 2026: Josh Allen finally breaks through and falls to the Chicago Bears. Caleb Williams wins a championship at SoFi Stadium, the building where he won the Heisman. Kelcey takes the Rams over the Bengals in a rematch of Super Bowl LVI. Aaron Donald is back in better shape than when he retired. Myles Garrett plays alongside him. Kyren Williams is about to have the breakout season of the decade. The Rams know the Bengals. They know the path to victory. Sun Tzu said so. On the best bets side, both hosts are backed by Outlier research. Kelcey hammers Justin Herbert's passing yards — a line that has already moved up from 3,450 since the AFC West video — because Herbert just set the record for the longest in-air throw by any Mike McDaniel quarterback in a preseason game. DJ goes all-in on DJ Moore's receiving yards over 825.5, backing it with career YAC data, the Bills' scheme, Josh Allen's arm, and one ghost pepper he will eat live on air if the pick misses. Awards: Kelcey gives MVP to Drake Maye, Defensive Player of the Year to Myles Garrett, Offensive Player of the Year to Kyren Williams and Coach of the Year to Liam Cohen. DJ gives MVP to Justin Herbert, Defensive Player of the Year to Will Anderson, Offensive Player of the Year to Amon-Ra St. Brown and Coach of the Year to Kliff Kingsbury. They agree on almost nothing, which is exactly how it should end. The NFL season starts tonight. On a Wednesday. DJ is still complaining about it. 🎯 Try Outlier free for 30 days — smarter sports betting research. Link at bellyupsports.com/high-low-sports-podcast.🏈 Follow Belly Up Fantasy & Gaming — https://x.com/BellyUpFantasy ⚠️ Must be 21+. Bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER. Follow us: @HighLowSports on X and Instagram | Full episodes at bellyupsports.com/high-low-sports-podcast

Every time Joe Burrow misses 10 games or more in a season, he plays 16 or more the following year. Last year he played 9. You do the math. 🎯 Join Outlier.bet — smarter sports betting research. No. 1 rated betting tool.👉 https://start.outlier.bet/mzWFUXB DJ and Kelcey wrap their division preview series with the AFC North— the final one before the Super Bowl picks drop — with eight prop bets powered by Outlier and two full sets of standings that land in very different places. DJ has the Bengals at 11-6 and the Browns at 2-15 with the first overall pick. Kelcey has the Bengals at 13-4 and the Browns at 4-13. The Bengals winning the division is the one thing they agree on without hesitation. The Browns segment is equal parts honest and depressing. Five new offensive linemen, a genuinely promising young roster, and the one quarterback nobody wanted to start. DJ's bold prediction: at minimum three different starting quarterbacks in 2026. Possibly all four. Todd Monken looks like a lame duck head coach. The bar is the ground. The good news is the bar can't go lower than the ground. The Bengals have the best receiver room in football when healthy — Ja'Marr Chase back from a hyperextended knee that reports say is fine, Tee Higgins healthy, Chase Brown as a multi-dimensional Alvin Kamara type, and a DoorDash driver from Atlanta who Joe Burrow called up, had him drive overnight from Atlanta to Cincinnati, and is now on the 53-man roster. That story is real. The Bengals are that team. Lamar Jackson missed games, had his worst rushing season, and the Ravens still had a path to the playoffs on the final kick of the year. New OC Declan Doyle comes from the Ben Johnson coaching tree — which means more passing, more red zone throws, and Zay Flowers in what DJ describes as the Amon-Ra St. Brown role of this offense. Kyle Hamilton playing freely as a rover, not a traditional safety. A defensive line with Trey Hendrickson finally adding the pass rush that covered for old, slow corners in the back half of last season. Then there are the Steelers, who stumbled ass-backwards into 10 wins and a division title with the lowest net point differential of any playoff team. Mike Tomlin is gone. Mike McCarthy is in. Aaron Rodgers is 43. Drew Allar is waiting. DJ and Kelcey cannot fully explain the Steelers and are done trying. They gave them 7-10 and 8-9 respectively and moved on. Eight bets. Four teams. One wild division that ends every single year with more questions than it started with. 🎯 Join Outlier.bet — smarter sports betting research. No. 1 rated betting tool.👉 https://start.outlier.bet/mzWFUXB 🏈 Follow Belly Up Fantasy & Gaming on X — https://x.com/BellyUpFantasy ⚠️ Must be 21+. Bet responsibly. Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Follow us: @HighLowSports on X and Instagram | Full episodes at bellyupsports.com/high-low-sports-podcast

The Detroit Lions had the best point differential in the entire NFC North last year — 68 points, more than the other three teams combined — and still finished last. That tells you everything you need to know about this division. DJ and Kelcey continue their August preview series with the NFC North — every team picked game by game, eight prop bets powered by Outlier, and full season predictions. The Lions come in with Aiden Hutchinson returning, a proven offensive core, and an offensive coordinator who loves feeding his best receivers. DJ thinks last year was the anomaly. Kelcey agrees. Both have them winning the division at 12-5. The Bears went worst to first on a heart attack diet — never won a game easily, never lost one they probably deserved to win either. DJ Moore is gone but Luther Burden steps in. Rome Odunze is healthy. Caleb Williams is entering year three. Kelcey has them second at 11-6. DJ has them second too. Their defense is the only question mark worth worrying about, and even that might be fine. The Vikings are the most interesting conversation in the episode. Kyler Murray is now officially the starter with actual reps. Kevin O'Connell is 13-4 and 14-3 in the two seasons he's had a healthy quarterback for a full year. Justin Jefferson has cleared 1,100 yards in every healthy season of his career. Brian Flores builds defenses that play entirely different with a lead — and the Vikings haven't had many leads in recent years. DJ goes as far as saying he might put real money on them to win the NFC North. That is not nothing. Then there are the Packers. Josh Jacobs on the commissioner's exempt list before the season even starts. Micah Parsons out to start the year. No Rashawn Gary. A receiver room that can't stay healthy. Jordan Love who's been the 7th seed in every playoff year of his career. Kelcey has them at 5-12, 0-6 in division. DJ is slightly kinder at 9-8. Both think they're walking uphill in ice skates while the other three teams roll boulders downhill at them. Eight prop bets, four teams, and one division where all four teams have won it in the last five years. 🎯 Join Outlier.bet — smarter sports betting research. No. 1 rated betting tool.👉 https://start.outlier.bet/mzWFUXB 🏈 Follow Belly Up Fantasy & Gaming on X — https://x.com/BellyUpFantasy ⚠️ Must be 21+. Bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER. Follow us: @HighLowSports on X and Instagram | Full episodes at bellyupsports.com/high-low-sports-podcast

The Los Angeles Rams added Myles Garrett. They traded for Trent McDuffie. They're making a push for Aaron Donald to come back. Matthew Stafford is still throwing touchdowns in bunches, Kyren Williams hits 1,200 yards like it's a subscription service, and the supporting cast has no holes. They're the Super Bowl favorites at +550. The NFC West is their division to lose. DJ and Kelcey break down every NFC West team game by game — the Rams, the defending champion Seahawks, a 49ers squad dealing with the most catastrophic offseason in recent memory, and the Cardinals, who started the year with Jeremiah Love in a walking boot before the season even opened. The 49ers had over 25 players injured at the same time, a head coach still recovering from a car accident, an owner making headlines for all the wrong reasons, and a draft that John Lynch admitted was partially influenced by AI. Kelcey's verdict: the AI got out of its sandbox and destroyed the entire offseason. DJ has them at 6-11. Kelcey has them at 7-10. Neither is great news for Brock Purdy. The Seahawks are the defending champions and still loaded defensively — Witherspoon, a mad-genius head coach, and a secondary that got an interesting addition in Trevon Diggs. But Kenneth Walker is gone to Kansas City, the offensive weapons beyond JSN are thin, and Clint Kubiak left for Las Vegas. Kelcey has them falling all the way to 8-9. DJ gives them a bit more credit at 10-7. Both think they miss the Super Bowl. Then there are the Cardinals. Two wins. Maybe three. New coaching staff, a LaFleur at the helm, a historic Trey McBride tight end season that almost certainly won't repeat, and Marvin Harrison Jr. trying to shake off a year of drops and drama. DJ actually believes in MHJ's bounce-back. Kelcey is betting the under on McBride touchdowns at -130. Eight prop bets. Four teams. Both hosts have the Rams at 13-4 and the NFC's No. 1 seed. The only question is whether Aaron Donald makes a cameo before November. 🎯 Join Outlier.bet — smarter sports betting research. No. 1 rated betting tool.👉 https://start.outlier.bet/mzWFUXB 🏈 Follow Belly Up Fantasy & Gaming on X — https://x.com/BellyUpFantasy ⚠️ Must be 21+. Bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER. Follow us: @HighLowSports on X and Instagram | Full episodes at bellyupsports.com/high-low-sports-podcast