Mere Mortals Conversations
Mere Mortals Conversations

Mere Mortals Conversations

Kyrin Down & Juan Granados

Overview
Episodes

Details

What is Effective Philosophy? Juan and I simplify hard to grasp concepts into pragmatic takeaways that can be applied to every day life (fitness, goal setting, work, parenting, travel, hobbies, finances, etc.,).

Recent Episodes

Thinking In Bets For Better Decision Making | How Prediction Markets Might Help Your Brain
MAR 8, 2026
Thinking In Bets For Better Decision Making | How Prediction Markets Might Help Your Brain
The mindset of a poker pro can now be applied outside of a narrow game.<br /><br />In Episode #517 of 'Meanderings', Juan &amp; I discuss: Annie Duke’s 'Thinking In Bets' book and how the poker mindset can reshape everyday decision-making, why focusing on process over outcomes matters,&nbsp; how using AI as a sounding board revealed hidden risk-taking in my own finances, testing assumptions in small experiments before going all-in, how arbitrage opportunities appear with prediction markets and why clarity on desired outcomes should drive bet-sizing. <br /><br />No support for this week so no beanie either. Also my laptop died suddenly hence the rather curt cut off at the end. Luckily we were almost done anyway phew. <br /><br />Stan Link: <a href="https://stan.store/meremortals" target="_blank">https://stan.store/meremortals</a><br /><br />Timeline:<br />&nbsp;<br />(00:00:00) Intro<br />(00:03:22) Outcome vs process: luck, good decisions, and post mortems<br />(00:09:16) Poker as repeated high impact decisions and learning while folding<br />(00:12:45) Symmetry, asymmetry, and spotting obviously bad bets<br />(00:18:34) Focus on decision quality, not results: lessons from early poker hands<br />(00:23:34) Plans that fail from wrong models: refining sell strategies<br />(00:28:15) Designing a simple, robust framework: time, percentage, and mean reversion<br />(00:31:28) Support break and playful side bets (brief interlude)<br />(00:31:59) Defining enough: goals, asymmetry, and chasing deltas<br />(00:35:18) Context is king: life design vs maximising returns<br />(00:38:56) Lifestyle upgrades vs status buys<br />(00:42:39) Comparing lives you don't want<br />(00:45:14) Test your dreams: mini retirements and truth over fantasy<br />(00:48:25) Prediction markets 101: from politics to Eurovision<br />(00:51:08) Arbitrage basics: finding edge across bookmakers<br />(00:56:24) Overconfidence, Dunning Kruger and too much information<br />(01:01:02) Avoiding tilt: energy, time, and knowing when to walk away<br />(01:03:27) AI flights of fancy: unified physics and healthy scepticism<br />(01:05:01) Wrap up: from thinking in bets to betting on ideas&nbsp; <p><br /><br />Connect with Mere Mortals:<br />Website: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/</a><br />Discord: <a href="https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU" target="_blank">https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU</a><br />Twitter/X: <a href="https://twitter.com/meremortalspods" target="_blank">https://twitter.com/meremortalspods</a><br />Instagram: <a href="https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/" target="_blank">https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/</a><br />TikTok: <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts" target="_blank">https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts</a><br /><br />Value 4 Value Support:<br />Boostagram: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support</a><br />Paypal: <a href="https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast" target="_blank">https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast</a></p>
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65 MIN
Train Increasingly Harder, Not Smarter | Is The Best Advice To Simply Do More?
MAR 2, 2026
Train Increasingly Harder, Not Smarter | Is The Best Advice To Simply Do More?
As much as it sucks, more volume is almost always the answer.<br /><br />In Episode #516 of 'Meanderings', Juan &amp; I discuss: volume versus form (sparked by a YouTuber/runner known as Ran to Japan), what extreme running volume really looks like when you’re fast enough to compress a marathon into a couple of hours per day, how training load evolves across years, why sheer reps often trump optimisation, steadily ramping the volume to match your goals and importance, why novice gains come from doing more before optimising, how soreness can signal meaningful work done&nbsp; and when “working dumber” (less overthinking) can paradoxically deliver better outcomes. <br /><br />No support this week.<br /><br />Stan Link: <a href="https://stan.store/meremortals" target="_blank">https://stan.store/meremortals</a><br /><br />Timeline:<br />(00:00:00) Intro<br />(00:01:00) Train Harder Not Smarter Mantra<br />(00:04:44) Ran To Japan: marathons, ultras and doing wild challenges<br />(00:08:16) Efficiency, pace, and why elite volume takes less time<br />(00:11:16) Shifting volumes over years: weights, tonnage, and time<br />(00:17:20) Handstands as a case study: years of reps beat tweaks<br />(00:23:52) Wind, conditions and noticing small effects with mastery<br />(00:26:45) Finding and fixing true failure points<br />(00:28:47) Treadmill tales: the mental game of sticking it out<br />(00:30:00) Nose breathing, footwear chat and beginner priorities<br />(00:36:01) Boosts, Brisbane rain and a segue back to effort<br />(00:36:34) The anterior mid cingulate cortex and doing hard things<br />(00:41:14) Loving the soreness: goals, injuries, and form trade-offs<br />(00:46:01) IQ, overthinking and why volume still wins<br />(00:51:04) Reps over tech: golf, tennis, and learning by doing<br />(00:55:11) Today's takeaway: do more, then do it smarter <p><br /><br />Connect with Mere Mortals:<br />Website: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/</a><br />Discord: <a href="https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU" target="_blank">https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU</a><br />Twitter/X: <a href="https://twitter.com/meremortalspods" target="_blank">https://twitter.com/meremortalspods</a><br />Instagram: <a href="https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/" target="_blank">https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/</a><br />TikTok: <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts" target="_blank">https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts</a><br /><br />Value 4 Value Support:<br />Boostagram: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support</a><br />Paypal: <a href="https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast" target="_blank">https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast</a></p>
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56 MIN
Monthly Goals | March 2026
MAR 2, 2026
Monthly Goals | March 2026
<p>It's time for our monthly check in where we review our goals from last month and see what's coming up for the next.<br /><br />Do you set yourself monthly goals and if so, how many do you set? Juan and I on the first week of every month go over our progress from the previous month and where we are heading for the next. Emphasis as always is on the shortcomings; what we didn't achieve in the previous monthly goals and how we will fix that for the month that comes. We hope you get some value from this series, showcasing our own methodology. What do you do differently and why?<br /><br />Stan Link: <a href="https://stan.store/meremortals" target="_blank">https://stan.store/meremortals</a><br /><br />Timeline:<br /> (00:00:00) Intro<br />(00:00:45) Juan's February 2026 Recap<br />(00:08:34) Kyrin's February 2026 Recap<br />(00:17:49) Support Overview<br />(00:18:48) Juan's March 2026 Goals<br />(00:22:58) Kyrin's March 2026 Goals<br />(00:35:41) Fitness<br />(00:41:14) V4V</p> <p><br /><br />Connect with Mere Mortals:<br />Website: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/</a><br />Discord: <a href="https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU" target="_blank">https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU</a><br />Twitter/X: <a href="https://twitter.com/meremortalspods" target="_blank">https://twitter.com/meremortalspods</a><br />Instagram: <a href="https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/" target="_blank">https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/</a><br />TikTok: <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts" target="_blank">https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts</a><br /><br />Value 4 Value Support:<br />Boostagram: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support</a><br />Paypal: <a href="https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast" target="_blank">https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast</a></p>
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41 MIN
Let's Get Down To MM Business | The Innovators Dilemma
FEB 22, 2026
Let's Get Down To MM Business | The Innovators Dilemma
Why is iterating hardware so difficult and what would we do if it came time to start a business.<br /><br />In Episode #515 of 'Meanderings', Juan &amp; I discuss: Clayton Christensen's 'The Innovator’s Dilemma' book, why incumbents like IBM and Blockbuster struggled with disruptive shifts, how spin-outs can help large firms explore new markets, whether today’s tech giants (NVIDIA, Amazon, Alphabet) are genuinely pivoting faster than past eras, the trap of single‑thesis bets (e.g., x402 via Coinbase/Circle), the difference between wealth and money via Paul Graham’s classic essay, my slow‑ship shift toward building something around livestreaming/value-for-value/OpenClaw-style agents, Juan's practical plan to buy and streamline existing local service businesses and the enduring challenge of measuring value in a world awash with AI-generated content. <br /><br />No boostagrams but we do appreciate the streaming!<br /><br />Stan Link: <a href="https://stan.store/meremortals" target="_blank">https://stan.store/meremortals</a><br /><br />Timeline:<br />(00:00:00) Intro<br />(00:00:36) The Innovator's Dilemma book<br />(00:05:20) From hardware to software: DiSASSter<br />(00:10:58) CapEx arms race: Nvidia up, Apple lagging<br />(00:15:04) Incumbents can't buy their way out every time<br />(00:19:13) Is AI truly disruptive? Capital, energy, and hype checks<br />(00:24:50) Business cycles repeat: pivots, exits, and getting left behind<br />(00:29:34) Investing today: concentration, tech dominance, and copper<br />(00:34:05) Investing is prediction: outcomes vs decisions<br />(00:38:02) Finding exposure: beware tiny bets inside behemoths<br />(00:41:01) Boostagram Lounge and supporter shout-outs<br />(00:42:04) Micropayments, value, and streaming money<br />(00:45:19) Why Lightning may not fit continuous payments<br />(00:49:53) Two paths: analogue community vs full-tilt AI grind<br />(00:53:41) A niche edge: 'human-made' as a selling point<br />(01:03:31) A creator's plan: livestreaming with OpenClaw automation<br />(01:08:02) Work futures: lifestyle businesses and human uniqueness<br />(01:14:58) Zero-to-one vs sustainment: knowing your role<br />(01:20:04) Juan's near-term play: buy, streamline, and bundle SMBs<br />(01:23:40) Wrap-up and sign-off&nbsp; <p><br /><br />Connect with Mere Mortals:<br />Website: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/</a><br />Discord: <a href="https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU" target="_blank">https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU</a><br />Twitter/X: <a href="https://twitter.com/meremortalspods" target="_blank">https://twitter.com/meremortalspods</a><br />Instagram: <a href="https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/" target="_blank">https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/</a><br />TikTok: <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts" target="_blank">https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts</a><br /><br />Value 4 Value Support:<br />Boostagram: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support</a><br />Paypal: <a href="https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast" target="_blank">https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast</a></p>
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83 MIN
The Sovereign Individual | Will Network States Displace The Nation?
FEB 15, 2026
The Sovereign Individual | Will Network States Displace The Nation?
Will the lowering returns on violence along with digital wealth storage lead to an exodus?<br /><br />In Episode #514 of ' Meanderings', Juan &amp; I discuss: The Sovereign Individual book (1997) highly recommended by Bitcoiners, early chapters bogged in Y2K angst versus strikingly prescient calls on digital money, decentralised media and the emerging cyber economy, how portable digital wealth might change the return on violence, what sovereignty means when nation-states still control critical infrastructure, historical arcs the book frames well (church cohesion and bloat, the rise of nation-states, industrial-era labour leverage) and where its predictions remain wavy, why megapolitics is way more interesting than regular politics and whether we will eventually see the demise of the nation state. <br /><br />No boostagrams or support for this week, the beanie remains off!<br /><br />Stan Link: <a href="https://stan.store/meremortals" target="_blank">https://stan.store/meremortals</a><br /><br />Timeline:<br />(00:00:00) Intro<br />(00:02:12) Why this book is famous in Bitcoin circles<br />(00:03:21) A shaky start: Y2K anxiety and dated worries<br />(00:07:24) Did they really predict Bitcoin? Tech hits and misses<br />(00:11:14) Core thesis: becoming sovereign and limits of the nation state<br />(00:13:32) What the book mostly covers: history and the rise of states<br />(00:16:05) Have nation states fractured? Power, wealth, and timelines<br />(00:18:39) Tech predictions vs social change: flying cars to hoverboards<br />(00:22:45) Numbers vs life: the underestimated intangibles of place<br />(00:25:01) Mobility is hard: visas, citizenship, and places that want you<br />(00:28:58) Libertarian reactions and margin notes in the library copy<br />(00:35:03) Evolution, brutality, and who loses in a sovereign-first world<br />(00:39:41) Public goods dilemma: bins, buses, roads, and who pays<br />(00:41:07) Free market hopes vs missing pure libertarian examples<br />(00:45:15) Effective vs efficient government and outsourcing to markets<br />(00:50:50) Boostagram Lounge and live chat banter (skating and humour)<br />(00:53:02) Key idea 1: Returns on violence across societal stages<br />(00:56:54) Key idea 2: The churchs early positive role and later bloat<br />(01:00:48) From fiefdoms to nation states: merchants, money, and armies<br />(01:05:09) Tech stacks of state power: cannonballs, printing presses, ledgers<br />(01:10:14) Can states still crush you? Blacklists, access, and workarounds<br />(01:17:12) Anonymity needs crowds: mixing, privacy coins, and cash claims<br />(01:20:19) Verdict on portability: harder to police digital than physical<br />(01:25:59) The Jenga tower of ideas: keeping what sticks<br />(01:27:55) New vocabulary: Megapolitical and thinking above politics<br />(01:31:14) Final thoughts, sign-off, and when to listen live&nbsp; <p><br /><br />Connect with Mere Mortals:<br />Website: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/</a><br />Discord: <a href="https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU" target="_blank">https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReU</a><br />Twitter/X: <a href="https://twitter.com/meremortalspods" target="_blank">https://twitter.com/meremortalspods</a><br />Instagram: <a href="https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/" target="_blank">https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/</a><br />TikTok: <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts" target="_blank">https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcasts</a><br /><br />Value 4 Value Support:<br />Boostagram: <a href="https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support" target="_blank">https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/support</a><br />Paypal: <a href="https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast" target="_blank">https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast</a></p>
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92 MIN