A fast-moving breakdown of the expanding war with Iran, including U.S. and Israeli strikes, the closing of the Strait of Hormuz, and what a possible ground operation could look like. The discussion covers whether tactical military success is translating into strategic gains, the risks of escalation, and the political and military decision-making driving the conflict.<br />Support the show on Patreon:⬇️<br />https://www.patreon.com/TheTeamHouse<br />Subscribe to our new newsletter!!!!<br />https://teamhousepodcast.kit.com/join<br />Whitefish Security Summit ⬇️<br />https://whitefishsecuritysummit.com/<br />Find Jon Hackett here:⬇️<br />Jon's books:<br />https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B0C5L659N5?ccs_id=e11a2062-f8d3-498e-bfd7-7d2f3869caf6<br />Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett<br />Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett<br />Check out Mick's new podcast here:⬇️<br />Apple Podcasts:<br />https://podcasts.apple.com/at/podcast/pub-and-porch-applied-stoicism/id1836955475<br />Spotify:<br />https://open.spotify.com/show/1k3QPmkAMwnGJxMLDwUSSd?si=n6piIu8XRcag1Z0K43A3bQ<br />Youtube:<br />https://www.youtube.com/@UCd0Hq6QFk8CoTu5j-VU0Ong <br />Find Mick Mulroy here: <br />Fogbow ⬇️<br />https://fogbow.com/<br />Lobo Institute ⬇️<br />https://www.loboinstitute.org/<br />Twitter ⬇️<br />https://x.com/mickmulroy?s=21&amp;t=-Ze3F_Ix2vlJ18KFvORTCA<br />LinkedIn ⬇️<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-patrick-mulroy-31198b52/<br />Bluesky ⬇️<br />https://bsky.app/profile/mickmulroy.bsky.social<br />Mick’s publications ⬇️<br />https://www.loboinstitute.org/publications/publications-of-michael-mick-patrick-mulroy/<br />Find Marc P here:<br />https://x.com/Mpolymer<br />Find Andy Milburn here: <br />Twitter ⬇️<br />https://twitter.com/i/flow/login?redirect_after_login=%2Fandymilburn8<br />LinkedIn ⬇️<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewmilburn2023<br />Substack ⬇️<br />https://amilburn.substack.com/<br />Andy’s book ⬇️<br />https://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations<br />Bluesky ⬇️<br />https://bsky.app/profile/andy-milburn.bsky.social<br />Find Jason Lyons here: <br />LinkedIn ⬇️<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-lyons-666873316?u<br />Bluesky ⬇️<br />https://bsky.app/profile/bgsilverback73.bsky.social<br />"Karl Casey @ White Bat Audio"<br />00:00 — Start<br />01:30 — Drone strikes hit Saudi bases and the Houthis escalate<br />02:07 — Have the U.S. and Israel already met their military objectives?<br />04:32 — Is there any real off-ramp or ceasefire path with Iran?<br />05:48 — Why Iran won’t trust negotiations<br />08:14 — Ground troops signal: MU movement and what it could mean<br />10:07 — Are CENTCOM and U.S. leadership reacting instead of planning?<br />14:36 — Why this war was always likely to escalate beyond airstrikes<br />18:00 — Civilian leadership vs military advice: who owns the strategy?<br />27:18 — Karg Island and the risks of a prolonged ground operation<br />32:00 — Why taking Karg Island may not solve the real problem<br />39:14 — Veteran backlash and why support for this war is weak<br />43:48 — Did early strikes kill the wrong Iranian leaders?<br />45:06 — “You can’t plan a war on a napkin”<br />50:00 — Event contracts, prediction markets, and war forecasting<br />54:45 — U.S. vs Israeli strategy: regime pressure vs regime change<br /><br />Become a supporter of this podcast: <a href="https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--5960890/support?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss">https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--5960890/support</a>.