Vol.79 足球数据科学丨关于转会，我们可能有很多误解
<p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">今夏英超俱乐部转会总投入创下历史新高，接连以1.27亿和9,500万欧元拿下维尔茨和埃基蒂克的利物浦鲜见地成为这股“买买买”风潮的引领者，素来以数据分析为决策重要依据的红军葫芦里卖的什么药？</p><span><br></span><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">三年前，我们曾在<span>「</span><span>足球</span><span>经济学</span><span>」系列中专题探讨过人们对转会认知的误区。</span>本期「足球数据科学」系列，我们将继续以<span>利物浦前研究总监伊恩-格雷厄姆博士的著作《如何赢得英超：足球数据分析发展的内幕故事》为纲，再次探讨转会交易背后的那些门道...</span></p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><b><img data-key="0" src="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/09a8-audiofreehighqps/AA/43/GKwRIasMgQhqAAHuTQP_6ESR.png!op_type=4&device_type=ios&upload_type=attachment&name=mobile_large" alt="" data-origin="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/09a8-audiofreehighqps/AA/43/GKwRIasMgQhqAAHuTQP_6ESR.png?op_type=0" data-large="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/09a8-audiofreehighqps/AA/43/GKwRIasMgQhqAAHuTQP_6ESR.png!op_type=4&device_type=ios&upload_type=attachment&name=mobile_large" data-large-width="750" data-large-height="441.64156626506025" data-preview="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/09a8-audiofreehighqps/AA/43/GKwRIasMgQhqAAHuTQP_6ESR.png!op_type=4&device_type=ios&upload_type=attachment&name=mobile_small" data-preview-width="140" data-preview-height="82.43975903614458"><br></b></p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><b>详情提要：</b></p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">00:02:55 为球员花的钱值不值？</p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">00:08:05 插曲：格雷厄姆加盟利物浦的故事</p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><span>00:20:35 为什么转会交易会失败？</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><span>00:36:04 “有所不为”的艺术</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><span>00:50:58 探究转会费的通胀根源</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">历年“<span>标王</span>”转会费与买方俱乐部营业收入的比较</p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><span><img data-key="1" src="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/a26e-audiofreehighqps/62/3B/GKwRIDoMgQi2ABBoGwP_6G--.png!op_type=4&device_type=ios&upload_type=attachment&name=mobile_large" alt="" data-origin="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/a26e-audiofreehighqps/62/3B/GKwRIDoMgQi2ABBoGwP_6G--.png?op_type=0" data-large="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/a26e-audiofreehighqps/62/3B/GKwRIDoMgQi2ABBoGwP_6G--.png!op_type=4&device_type=ios&upload_type=attachment&name=mobile_large" data-large-width="750" data-large-height="937.5" data-preview="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/a26e-audiofreehighqps/62/3B/GKwRIDoMgQi2ABBoGwP_6G--.png!op_type=4&device_type=ios&upload_type=attachment&name=mobile_small" data-preview-width="140" data-preview-height="175"><br></span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">00:59:02 利物浦转性了？</p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">01:02:51 魔球（Moneyball）最大的贡献</p><span><br></span><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><b>过渡片段：</b></p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">00:20:20 菲尔米诺之歌Si Señor</p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>00:45:41 利物浦24/25赛季英超颁奖典礼</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span><span>00:50:40 </span>Sky Sports报道维尔茨加盟利物浦</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>01:02:35 利物浦播客Blood Red采访比利-比恩</span></p><br><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><b>参考资料：</b></p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><a href="https://www.ximalaya.com/sound/494232598" style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;">Vol.34 足球经济学丨关于转会，我们可能有很多误解</a></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">数据科学丨走进“魔球”鼻祖的世界</p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">财报丨从一毛不拔到破纪录豪购，利物浦转会“反差之谜”<br></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal">以利物浦为例，说说媒体统计球队工资时的局限性</p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>（平台不让放链接，可以用关键词搜索）</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><img data-key="2" src="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/0db4-audiofreehighqps/51/2A/GAqh4zIMgQiFAAGTpAP_6FdI.jpg!op_type=4&device_type=ios&upload_type=attachment&name=mobile_large" alt="" data-origin="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/0db4-audiofreehighqps/51/2A/GAqh4zIMgQiFAAGTpAP_6FdI.jpg?op_type=0" data-large="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/0db4-audiofreehighqps/51/2A/GAqh4zIMgQiFAAGTpAP_6FdI.jpg!op_type=4&device_type=ios&upload_type=attachment&name=mobile_large" data-large-width="750" data-large-height="421.875" data-preview="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/0db4-audiofreehighqps/51/2A/GAqh4zIMgQiFAAGTpAP_6FdI.jpg!op_type=4&device_type=ios&upload_type=attachment&name=mobile_small" data-preview-width="140" data-preview-height="78.75"><br></p><hr style="border:0px;margin:20px 0px;background:#ddd;display:inline-block;width:100%;border-style:solid;height:1px;"><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><b>BGM: </b>G-Dragon「Middle Fingers-Up」,</p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">Berliner Barock Solisten / Johann Sebastian Bach / Reinhard Goebel</p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">「Brandenburg Concerto No.3 in G major BWV1048」</p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><b>公众号：橘猫看球（ID: Jumaofootball）</b></p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><b>知乎：橘猫看球</b></p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;"><b>听友群：公众号回复口令<span>“</span>听友群<span>”</span></b></p><p data-flag="normal" style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;">橘猫，<span>CFA/CICPA</span>，曾就职于四大会计师事务所及国际足球管理公司，业余时间从事足球商业内容创作。欢迎私信交流，如果喜欢我的作品，请大力分享，欢迎打赏！也欢迎关注本人旗下另一档播客<span>【忠橙电台丨泰山球迷播客】，以及体育观察者系列播客的其他节目【翻转体育】【</span><span>FreeKick-</span><span>不止于足球场】。</span></p>
