Yet Another Value Podcast

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In this episode of the Yet Another Value Podcast Monthly Book Club, host Andrew Walker is joined by Byrne Hobart, author of The Diff newsletter, to discuss Diary of a Very Bad Year: Confessions of an Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager. The conversation explores the book’s candid insights from a hedge fund manager navigating the 2008 financial crisis. Andrew and Byrne dig into the accuracy of predictions made in real time, the psychology of uncertainty, and the relevance of past financial mistakes to today’s AI boom and private credit landscape. This is a thoughtful discussion on expertise, misallocation, and financial memory—both personal and systemic.This month's book on amazon: https://amzn.to/4hUNk8sChapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: AlphaSense[2:00] Overview of Diary of a Very Bad Year: Confessions of an Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager[12:00] Bubbles through a misallocation of resources lens[22:35] History rhymes / Predictions in the book[35:45] Tariffs today versus housing in 2005[45:00] Misallocation of resources if AI is a bubble[56:00] Druckenmiller's Argentinean betToday's sponsor: AlphaSense; Try it free today at alpha-sense.com/YAVPThis episode is brought to you by AlphaSense—the market intelligence platform I rely on for faster, deeper insight.If you’ve used platforms like Tegus, you’ll feel right at home—but AlphaSense takes it further. With over 150,000 expert call transcripts and 450 million+ premium documents, it’s become my go-to resource for both qualitative and competitive research.And now, with Generative AI tools like Gen Search and Gen Grid, AlphaSense makes it easier than ever to accelerate your workflow. Gen Search lets you ask natural-language questions—like “What’s driving margin pressure in semis?”—and instantly surfaces answers pulled from expert calls, earnings transcripts, filings, and more.Gen Grid takes it a step further—automating repeatable workflows by applying multiple prompts across dozens of documents at once. It delivers clean, table-format answers like sales trends, macro commentary, or pricing signals—all with clickable citations so you can trace insights directly to the source.Whether you’re digging into a company, comparing peers, or parsing 10-Ks at scale, AlphaSense gives you a speed and depth advantage. Try it free today at alpha-sense.com/YAVP and experience the future of research.See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

For more information about David Capital Partners, please visit: https://davidpartners.com/

Chapters:

[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool

[2:23] Who is David Capital and why $LFCR is interesting to Adam

[6:16] $LFCR history

[12:55] What is a CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) and how ingrained into the regulatory approval process they are; why these businesses are attractive

[21:47] What is Adam seeing with $LFCR that the market is missing

[24:00] $LFCR business

[30:16] Why this management team will change the trajectory of the company

[38:10] Capacity / concern about the speed to fill capacity

[46:45] Trump regulatory tailwinds / RFK headwind

[53:03] What has kept this company from achieving greatness / risk vs. reward with $LFCR

[1:02:33] Management team incentives

[1:04:41] Conversation about the math (valuation)

[1:10:08] Final thoughts

Today's sponsor: Fintool

Fintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That’s the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it’s going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document.

Now- if you’ve tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you’re an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280

See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

For more information about Plural Invest, please visit: https://www.pluralinvesting.com/

Plural Investing/Hidden Gems write up on $SEG: https://www.hiddengemsinvesting.com/p/special-report-seaport-entertainment

Chapters:

[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool

[2:22] What is Seaport Entertainment and why it's interesting to Chris

[7:40] What is Chris seeing with $SEG that makes Seaport a risk adjusted alpha opportunity

[9:20] Cash burn / is the district really that valuable, good

[17:41] What attracted Andrew to $SEG - how the opportunity came about (spin off from Howard Hughes)

[22:36] Ackman involvement

[27:25] Overview of Pier 17 and the new lease they've got there / Meow Wolf concept

[36:37] Tin Building and the vision for it / kitchen consolidation / competitive analysis

[48:50] Overview of 250 Water and Vegas assets (air rights, Triple A team)

[59:33] Overview of "The Historic District"

[1:02:38] How the $SEG thesis doesn't play out / new management team

[1:06:06] Final thoughts

Today's sponsor: Fintool

Fintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That’s the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it’s going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document.

Now- if you’ve tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you’re an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280

See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

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