Prediction Markets: Kalshi, Polymarket & This Week’s Biggest M&A Deals
MAR 16, 202648 MIN
Prediction Markets: Kalshi, Polymarket & This Week’s Biggest M&A Deals
MAR 16, 202648 MIN
Description
<p>In this week’s Market Maker Podcast M&A episode, we break down the biggest deals moving markets right now. We start with Axel Springer’s $770 million acquisition of the Daily Telegraph, the proposed Airbus–Leonardo–Thales space merger aimed at competing with SpaceX, and the latest developments in the Monte dei Paschi–Mediobanca deal. We also discuss a new take-private bid for Papa John’s and a recent investment into AmplifyME.</p><p><br></p><p>We then dive into the rapid rise of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. These platforms allow users to trade contracts on real-world outcomes—from crypto prices and politics to economic events. With valuations potentially approaching $20 billion, we explore how prediction markets work, why hedge funds are beginning to exploit arbitrage opportunities, and whether this could evolve into a new financial market infrastructure or remain a controversial betting niche.</p><p><br></p><p>Chapters</p><p><br></p><p>(00:00) Introduction</p><p>(01:18) Axel Springer Buys the Telegraph</p><p>(05:11) European Space Merger vs SpaceX</p><p>(06:52) Monte dei Paschi–Mediobanca Deal</p><p>(07:24) Papa John’s Take-Private Bid</p><p>(10:27) AmplifyME Investment Explained</p><p>(13:33) What Are Prediction Markets?</p><p>(20:06) Prediction Market Size</p><p>(22:52) Who Built Polymarket & Kalshi?</p><p>(29:02) Hedge Funds Enter Prediction Markets</p><p>(32:49) Market Manipulation Risks</p><p>(38:42) Regulation & Legal Risks</p><p>(41:51) The Bull Case for Prediction Markets</p><p>(42:43) The Bear Case for Prediction Markets</p><p>(46:01) Final Thoughts</p><p><br></p><p>Find out more about simulation in attraction, training and assessment <a href="www.amplifyme.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferer">www.amplifyme.com</a></p><p><br></p><p>Subscribe to the Market Maker <a href="https://amplifyme.com/newsletter" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferer">daily newsletter</a></p>