Former Welterweight champion Belal Muhammad is coming off of back-to-back losses for the first time in his career and now he’s matched up with a surging contender with only one loss in twenty career bouts. Gabriel Bonfim is no longer just a dangerous prospect with slick submissions and heavy hands. He is ranked, coming off 4 straight wins, and getting a five-round main event against a former champion who has spent his career living in deep waters.Belal brings the championship pedigree, pressure wrestling, and elite-level experience. Bonfim has the cleaner finishing threat, the confidence of a four-fight winning streak, and the chance to turn an Apex main event into a real argument for a title shot.Best bets, a sleeper fight you do not want to miss, and full main card picks for: Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim, Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan, Fares Ziam vs Tom Nolan, Bryce Mitchell vs Santiago Luna, Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa, plus the recap of UFC Macau: Song vs Figueiredo.Timestamps below:Introduction: 0:00UFC Macau Recap: 1:14AJ's Sleeper of the Week: 4:55Stats You Need to Know: 6:47Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa: 11:00Matt Schnell vs Alessandro Costa: 16:44Bryce Mitchell vs Santiago Luna: 20:58Fares Ziam vs Tom Nolan: 26:30Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan: 33:06Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim: 36:21Best Bets of the Week: 43:29Prelim Pourover: 47:23Derick and AJ bring you MMA analysis, UFC picks, and fight betting breakdowns every week. Bloody Water Podcast, in association with Fight Muse Media.