Griffin Warner talks betting for Tuesday.
Griffin Warner returns with the May 26 edition of What I Bet on the Straight Outta Vegas AM pregame.com podcast feed, covering a critical NHL elimination game and a full 13-game MLB slate in one of the busiest betting days of the early summer. On the ice, Griffin explains why he is not buying the Colorado Avalanche as road favorites against the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 of the Western Conference Final. The Avs fell 5-3 in Game 3 and now trail 3-0, with Nathan MacKinnon's knee injury after blocking a shot adding serious uncertainty to Colorado's roster situation. Cale Makar returned from his own upper-body absence but Griffin says he never looked fully himself, and the backhand goal from Tomas Hertl that extended Vegas's lead was the moment that defined the game. Golden Knights minus 102 is his play. On the baseball side, Griffin works through every matchup on the board, starting with the Washington Nationals and Cade Cavalli against the Cleveland Guardians and Joey Cantillo, leaning Cleveland at minus 130. He covers the Tampa Bay Rays and Griffin Jax against a bullpen game, with former Rays righty Shane Baz, now an Oriole, having pitched well against Tampa recently, and finds value in the under on total first five at plus 100. He leans to Keider Montero and the under in Detroit against the Angels and Jack Kochanowicz, backs Boston and Ranger Suarez plus 100 over Spencer Strider and the Braves because Strider still needs to prove his return from elbow surgery is complete, monitors Sandy Alcantara and Miami against the Blue Jays and Braydon Fisher in a bullpen game, and sides with the Mets and David Peterson over the Reds and Chase Burns in a battle where plus money is simply too attractive to ignore. Kyle Harrison has been one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball since joining Milwaukee from Boston and Griffin respects him enormously but cannot pay minus 170. He leans under on Cam Schlittler and the Yankees against Kansas City and Bailey Falter after recounting how Lucas Erceg's blown save on a misplaced slider to Anthony Volpe cost him a two-unit win the night before. Joe Ryan and the Twins draw plus money from Sean Burke and the White Sox, making the under on seven and a half the natural lean. The Houston Astros no-hit Texas on Monday and Griffin reads that as a direct statement on how poorly the Rangers have been hitting and how difficult Globe Life Field plays, leaning under against Jack Leiter. Aaron Nola and the Phillies get the nod over Randy Vasquez and the Padres after Vasquez was scratched Monday and slid into Tuesday's spot. Emerson Hancock and Luis Severino shape up as a low-scoring Sacramento game, Eduardo Rodriguez and Tyler Mahle figure to keep it quiet at Oracle Park, and there is simply no case for backing Kyle Freeland and the Rockies at plus 206 in Los Angeles against Eric Lauer's Dodger debut. Griffin's Best Bet is the Pittsburgh Pirates and Braxton Ashcraft at minus 125 over the Cubs and Jordan Wicks, who is making his first big-league start of the season after being recalled from Triple-A Iowa following a stint on the IL. Use promo code ERA20 at pregame.com for 20 percent off through May 31. Follow Griffin on all social media at Real_G_Warner and find the show on the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, and pregame.com.
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