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Markets don’t fear tariffs because they’re ideological. They fear tariffs because they’re unpredictable, blunt, and expensive at the point where businesses actually pay: the border. We dig into 2025’s tariff surge, why the legal footing always looked shaky, and how the market learned to translate political slogans into real cash costs for U.S. importers and consumers.

We start by untangling a common mistake: treating trade deficits like federal budget gaps. Trade balances sit inside the broader balance of payments and are offset by services and capital flows, so using blanket tariffs to “fix” them misses the economic mechanics. From there, we walk through the constitutional and statutory landscape. Congress owns tariff authority, and while it delegates narrow powers for national security and anti‑dumping cases, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act was never designed for worldwide levies. That’s why courts, including the Supreme Court, signaled skepticism toward the April rollout.

Then we get practical. Who pays? U.S. importers write the checks, then fight to pass costs along supply chains, with mixed success. That reality explains the sudden April selloff, the blow to business confidence, and the scramble for exemptions. We also trace the diplomatic fallout—frayed goodwill with Canada, Mexico, and the U.K.—and the hollow optics of “agreements” without text or verification. Finally, we map what’s next: a likely legal reversal, a shift back to targeted tools, and a slow drip of tariff relevance rather than a flood. For investors, the edge lies with firms that hold pricing power, diversify suppliers, and invest in regional resilience.

If you value clear thinking over noise, tap play, subscribe for future breakdowns, and leave a review with your take on how trade policy should actually be built.

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Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.