Dancing With the Odds

Rad Dad Network

Details

Three dads. One bankroll. A very public Road to $10K. Dancing With the Odds is a weekly sports betting podcast from the Prop Dads (Dennis, Shaun, and Aaron), breaking down college football picks, NFL best bets, player props, and the occasional parlay that never should have been placed. Every pick is tracked, every loss is owned, and the bankroll gets checked on air. Every episode covers: • College football best bets, with plenty of Nebraska Cornhuskers talk • NFL picks against the spread, totals, and road underdogs • Weather betting: how wind and rain move totals • Picks from our college football totals model • Buckets of Cash: the long shots we can’t resist New episodes drop weekly during football season, with futures previews before kickoff. Produced by the Rad Dad Network. For entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Recent Episodes

OCT 24, 2026
Jalen Hurts’ Blood Clots, a Brewers vs. Rays World Series, and Football in Paris
Dancing With The Odds | Season 4, Episode 8 Hosts: Shaun Thompson Shaun flies solo this week, debuts some new on-screen lettering, and owns up to a brutal week at the window. He floats the bold strategy of fading the dads entirely, previews a World Series that guarantees a first-time champion, and walks through the college model’s newest edge. Then Shaun, speaking as someone in the medical field, breaks down the baffling Jalen Hurts blood clot saga, sizes up a jet-lagged Steelers squad in Paris, and makes an executive decision when a road dog bet flips on him at the last minute. In This Episode The Ledger: A week to forget, and why you might want to do the exact opposite of whatever the dads recommend Model Check: How the road dog angle and the college over/under model are holding up World Series Preview: A Cubs fan reluctantly makes his series call, plus elite bullpens and a possible Cy Young arm on the mound The College Model, Evolved: Why conference season forced a new spread range, and what the data says about spread to total ratio College Slate: Rice vs. Florida Atlantic, the new No. 1 Miami hosting Pitt, and Texas Tech’s trip to Cincinnati Jalen Hurts: Blood clots, a 36-hour no-sleep order, and how he was somehow cleared to play Football in Paris: Protests in the streets, a red-eye straight to practice, and international game history The Road Dog Flip: A line moves out of the model, and Shaun goes shopping through low totals and betting splits Executive Decision: A homer pick in an indoor NFC North showdown, with Shaun putting his own money on the line Timestamps TimeSegment 00:00 Cold Open 00:23 The Ledger: Last Week’s Recap 00:45 NBA Tip-Off and The Plug 01:05 Should You Fade Us? 01:24 Model Check: Road Dogs and Totals 02:20 World Series Preview: Brewers vs. Rays 04:17 Tracked Slate: College Picks and the Model 05:45 Rice vs. Florida Atlantic 06:33 Pittsburgh at Miami 07:56 Texas Tech at Cincinnati 08:56 Jalen Hurts’ Blood Clots 10:46 Tracked Slate: Steelers vs. Saints in Paris 12:55 49ers vs. Falcons 14:41 Bengals at Ravens: The Road Dog Flip 15:20 Low Totals and Betting Splits 17:00 Packers at Lions: Executive Decision 18:38 Slate Recap 20:12 The Out Track Everything Road to $10K: https://raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/road-to-10k Pick of the Day: https://raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/pick-of-the-day Next Week The full crew returns to find out if the bounce-back week happened, whether Shaun’s executive decision cost him his own money, and who’s holding the World Series trophy. 👍 Like, subscribe, and drop your World Series pick in the YouTube comments. We’ve been hanging in the 60s. Help us hit 100 on YouTube! Watch here: https://youtu.be/Ppby1LrU3Tw 🌐 https://raddadnetwork.com/ 🛒 Online store: https://rad-dad-network.printify.me/ Produced by the Rad Dad Network Theme song by Alex Vyshnevskyi Disclaimer: Dancing With The Odds is for entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this episode is financial or betting advice. Please gamble responsibly, only wager what you can afford to lose, and know the laws in your state. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Mentioned in this episode: Track Every Bet at Rad Dad Network See exactly how the season is going. The Road to $10K page tracks the bankroll in real time, and the Pick of the Day page breaks down each host's individual record so you know who to trust and who to fade. Visit raddadnetwork.com. Store Ad Check-Six Radio Promo - 25s (Network Swap) Featured Rad Dad Network show: Check-Six Radio - short, no-fluff mission briefs on VA benefits, the GI Bill, VA home loans, and life after the military, from Air Force veteran Dennis Tresca. Listen and follow: https://www.raddadnetwork.com/shows/check-six-radio
22 MIN
OCT 21, 2026
Your $500K SGLI Expires in 120 Days: VGLI, VALife & Veteran Life Insurance - Check-Six Radio
Your SGLI coverage doesn't follow you out the door. It ends 120 days after separation, and most veterans never hear about it until it's gone. In this solo briefing on veteran life insurance, Dennis breaks down every VA life insurance option you have after the uniform comes off: the VGLI conversion window, when private term might beat VGLI, the guaranteed-acceptance policy most rated veterans have never heard of, and mortgage coverage for severely disabled vets. IN THIS EPISODE - Why your SGLI expires 120 days after you separate - TSGLI, Family SGLI, and the SGLI Disability Extension - VGLI: the 1-year-and-120-day deadline, and why day 240 matters most - VGLI vs. private term: running the comparison honestly - VALife: guaranteed whole life coverage for any service-connected rating, including 0% - VMLI: mortgage protection for Specially Adapted Housing grant recipients TACTICAL DRILL 1. Find your separation date on your DD-214 and check where you stand against the 240-day and 1-year-120-day deadlines. 2. If you have any service-connected rating, even 0%, check your VALife eligibility on VA.gov. 3. Get a VGLI rate and a private term quote, compare them side by side, and update your beneficiaries on every policy. Share this episode with one veteran who just got out — that 240-day window is the one they need to hear about. RESOURCES VA Life Insurance overview: https://www.va.gov/life-insurance/ VALife eligibility and application: https://www.va.gov/life-insurance/options-eligibility/valife/ VGLI details: https://www.va.gov/life-insurance/options-eligibility/vgli/ TSGLI: https://www.va.gov/life-insurance/options-eligibility/tsgli/ VMLI: https://www.va.gov/life-insurance/options-eligibility/vmli/ MOAA — Beyond SGLI (VGLI cost comparison): https://www.moaa.org/content/publications-and-media/news-articles/2025-news-articles/finance/beyond-sgli-do-you-have-a-life-insurance-plan-for-after-service/ VA Life Insurance Center: 800-669-8477 (TTY: 711) NEXT EPISODE Veterans Day special, dropping November 11: the consolidated season-one checklist. Every box you need to check, in one episode. Check Six Radio is a proud part of the Rad Dad Network. This episode is for educational purposes only and is not financial or insurance advice. Compare options and consult a licensed professional before making coverage decisions. #CheckSixRadio #VeteranBenefits #VGLI #VALife #SGLI #RadDadNetwork
14 MIN
OCT 9, 2026
Indiana at Nebraska, Lamar Jackson’s Ankle, and Weather Betting
Two unbeatens collide in Lincoln, Notre Dame may have to do all the scoring by themselves, and Lamar Jackson’s ankle decides the Sunday bet. The dads check the bankroll after a winning week, Aaron officially earns the title of Weatherman with wind gusts, rain chances, and stadium orientations, and Shaun brings a Nebraska stat that Husker fans won’t want to hear. Plus a soggy Buckets of Cash, a backup quarterback in elite company, and a disclaimer about the dinosaur air you’re breathing right now. Dancing With The Odds | Season 4, Episode 7 Hosts: Dennis Tresca, Aaron Patterson, Shaun Thompson In This Episode Postseason Baseball: A Cubs fan’s case for the Brewers, the Rays sweep the Yankees, and karma for a decades-old Jeter home run The Ledger: A total cleared by the slimmest possible margin, a London touchdown called back, and an offense that forgot to show up The Weatherman: Aaron breaks down wind, rain, and which direction the field faces in an SEC matchup Indiana at Nebraska: Big Noon Kickoff comes to Lincoln, Shaun’s history of the Huskers with national pregame shows in town, and the over/under on the balloon release Stanford at Notre Dame: The one game that fit the model perfectly, and the model game the dads passed on Buckets of Cash: A college game in a downpour, a Brewers series call, and a Belgian soccer carryover Ravens at Falcons: Lamar’s status, an injury report breakdown, and the backup QB stat that puts Tyler Huntley alongside Nick Foles and Case Keenum Fading Miami: Bengals receiver injuries and a Dolphins offense running on fumes The Disclaimer: You are an electrified meat computer, and reality is non-refundable Timestamps TimeSegment 00:00 Cold Open 01:16 Postseason Baseball Talk 02:17 Bankroll Check 02:43 The Ledger: Last Week’s Recap 04:11 Tracked Slate: College Picks 04:20 South Carolina at Florida 07:17 Indiana at Nebraska 08:53 Nebraska and the National Pregame Shows 12:13 Stanford at Notre Dame 13:36 Model Tracker Update 14:35 The Plug 15:05 Buckets of Cash 17:24 Tracked Slate: Ravens at Falcons 21:41 Tracked Slate: Bengals vs. Dolphins 24:05 Slate Recap 24:33 The Disclaimer 25:45 The Out Track Everything Road to $10K: https://raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/road-to-10k Pick of the Day: https://raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/pick-of-the-day Next Week The dads find out if this is finally the week they go perfect, whether the Lincoln balloons ever left anyone’s hand, and if the Weatherman’s forecasts held up. 🎧 Enjoying the show? Follow us and leave a rating on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 📺 Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/UXSigYeNDrA 👍 Like, subscribe, and drop a comment with your guess on when the Nebraska balloons fly. We’ve been stuck at 60 subscribers for weeks. Help us hit 100 on YouTube! 🌐 https://raddadnetwork.com/ 🛒 Online store: https://rad-dad-network.printify.me/ Produced by the Rad Dad Network Theme song by Alex Vyshnevskyi Disclaimer: Dancing With The Odds is for entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this episode is financial or betting advice. Please gamble responsibly, only wager what you can afford to lose, and know the laws in your state. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Mentioned in this episode: Store Ad Check-Six Radio Promo - 25s (Network Swap) Featured Rad Dad Network show: Check-Six Radio - short, no-fluff mission briefs on VA benefits, the GI Bill, VA home loans, and life after the military, from Air Force veteran Dennis Tresca. Listen and follow: https://www.raddadnetwork.com/shows/check-six-radio
27 MIN
OCT 1, 2026
College Football Best Bets and NFL London Picks: Colts vs Commanders
Dancing With The Odds | Season 4, Episode 6 Hosts: Dennis Tresca, Aaron Patterson, Shaun Thompson Six episodes in and the bankroll is finally pointing the right way, NFL included. The dance dads set a new milestone for the Road to $10K, and with conference play killing off the big-spread mismatches, Shaun takes his blowout model back to the lab and comes out with a new angle for two-to-three touchdown favorites. Aaron makes the case for why international games get sloppy, the weather model flags its first under of the college season, and the Buckets of Cash segment goes global, all the way to the Belgian Pro League. In This Episode The Ledger: Where the bankroll stands after a winning week, and why the NFL side finally paid out A New Milestone: The crew sets a $500 target for Thanksgiving and talks about raising stakes as the bankroll grows Model Check-In: How Shaun's blowout model, Aaron's weather model, and Dennis's road dog angle are actually performing on the model tracker Rebuilding for Conference Play: Shaun used AI to dig into early-season data and found a new spread range worth watching The Tracked Slate: Four college bets and one lone NFL play, including the first college under of the season The London Angle: Aaron explains why overseas games tend to look out of sync, plus some Commanders quarterback chatter Buckets of Cash: A rough season for the side bets, followed by MLB playoffs, the Battle of the Bays, a Mountain West shootout, and Belgian soccer The Disclaimer: Aaron's most existential one yet, and the Earth apparently took it personally Timestamps TimeSegment 00:00 Welcome to Season 4, Episode 6 01:21 The Ledger: bankroll and season record 02:23 The $500 by Thanksgiving milestone 03:16 Model check-in and the new conference play angle 07:49 Weather model and road dog updates 08:33 The Plug: socials, YouTube, and daily pick email alerts 09:30 Tracked Slate: college football 16:55 Tracked Slate: the lone NFL bet in London 21:21 A sneak peek at next week's international game 22:10 Buckets of Cash 29:18 RFK Pick of the Week 29:44 Aaron's disclaimer 30:32 The Out Track Everything Follow every bet and every pick on the Rad Dad Network site: Road to $10K: https://raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/road-to-10k Pick of the Day: https://raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/pick-of-the-day (now with email alerts, so you'll know the second a new pick goes up) Next Week Another international game is on the schedule, and the guys already have their eye on it. Plus the first real test of Shaun's new spread model as conference play heats up, and another step toward $500 by Thanksgiving. Like, subscribe, and drop a comment with your best bet of the week. We're still chasing 100 YouTube subscribers, so every one counts. Website: https://raddadnetwork.com/ Online store: https://rad-dad-network.printify.me/ Produced by the Rad Dad Network Theme song by Alex Vyshnevskyi Disclaimer: Dancing With The Odds is for entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this episode is financial advice or a guarantee of any outcome. All wagers discussed are our own opinions and analysis. Please gamble responsibly, only bet what you can afford to lose, and check the laws in your state. You must be 21+ to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Mentioned in this episode: Track Every Bet at Rad Dad Network See exactly how the season is going. The Road to $10K page tracks the bankroll in real time, and the Pick of the Day page breaks down each host's individual record so you know who to trust and who to fade. Visit raddadnetwork.com. Store Ad Check-Six Radio Promo - 25s (Network Swap) Featured Rad Dad Network show: Check-Six Radio - short, no-fluff mission briefs on VA benefits, the GI Bill, VA home loans, and life after the military, from Air Force veteran Dennis Tresca. Listen and follow: https://www.raddadnetwork.com/shows/check-six-radio
27 MIN
SEP 25, 2026
Betting NFL Unders in the Wind + College Football Over Picks
Dancing With The Odds | Season 4, Episode 5 Hosts: Dennis Tresca, Aaron Patterson, Shaun Thompson Five episodes in, which officially matches all of Season 3. Shaun is off saving lives this week (he's fine, everyone), so Dennis and Aaron hold down the fort with a slate Shaun locked in from the group chat. The dads check in on the model tracker, Aaron unveils a brand new NFL angle built on ten seasons of weather data, and the college side of the slate introduces a school nobody at the table knew existed. Plus a surprise bet nobody remembers agreeing to and a disclaimer that will make you rethink who is really in charge of your body. In This Episode The Model Tracker: Shaun's college blowout model keeps cashing while the NFL angles struggle to find their footing Aaron's Wind Model: Why rain barely matters, what wind actually does to NFL totals, and the game that almost counted The Ledger: A Michigan scare, a Missouri-Troy game that fell off a cliff at halftime, and a Troy leash that keeps getting shorter NFL Heartbreak: An injury, a fourth-down call that backfired, and a Philly offense that didn't show up until it hurt The Tracked Slate: Three college overs straight from the model and two NFL unders, including the first game to fit the wind angle Meet the Sharks: The dads discover Long Island University and immediately consider switching allegiances The Chiefs Stat: Aaron digs up a Mahomes-era road record that will surprise you Surprise Bet: Shaun's bet slip has one more game on it than anyone expected Buckets of Cash: An NFC West total and a Seahawks team that looks like champions again The Disclaimer: You are officially outnumbered in your own skin Timestamps TimeSegment 00:00 Cold Open 01:18 Bankroll Check 02:48 Model Tracker Update 04:02 Aaron's NFL Wind Model 07:08 The Plug 07:38 The Ledger: College Recap 10:23 The Ledger: NFL Recap 13:17 Tracked Slate: College Picks 18:02 Tracked Slate: NFL Picks 24:55 Locked In and the Surprise Sixth Bet 27:45 Buckets of Cash 29:31 RFK Pick of the Week (On Hold) 29:51 The Disclaimer 30:43 The Out Track Everything Road to $10K: https://raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/road-to-10k Pick of the Day: https://raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/pick-of-the-day Next Week Shaun returns with the RFK Pick of the Week, the wind model gets its first official test, and the dads find out whether the Long Island Sharks are real or a shared hallucination. 👍 Like, subscribe, and drop a comment if you go to Long Island University and can confirm the sharks exist. Help us hit 100 subscribers on YouTube! 🌐 https://raddadnetwork.com/ 🛒 Online store: https://rad-dad-network.printify.me/ Produced by the Rad Dad Network Theme song by Alex Vyshnevskyi Disclaimer: Dancing With The Odds is for entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this episode is financial or betting advice. Please gamble responsibly, only wager what you can afford to lose, and know the laws in your state. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Mentioned in this episode: Track Every Bet at Rad Dad Network See exactly how the season is going. The Road to $10K page tracks the bankroll in real time, and the Pick of the Day page breaks down each host's individual record so you know who to trust and who to fade. Visit raddadnetwork.com. Store Ad Check-Six Radio Promo - 25s (Network Swap) Featured Rad Dad Network show: Check-Six Radio - short, no-fluff mission briefs on VA benefits, the GI Bill, VA home loans, and life after the military, from Air Force veteran Dennis Tresca. Listen and follow: https://www.raddadnetwork.com/shows/check-six-radio
28 MIN