<p>This week, we’re joined by Richie Mashiko - Head of Beacon at Iris Finance for a full breakdown of how BFCM played out across their businesses. Together, the group recaps what actually drove performance this year, from media-mix diversification and top-of-funnel investment to traffic dynamics, conversion-rate behavior, and how different brand sizes approached Cyber Five strategy.</p><p>From there, Richie walks through his forecasting philosophy - including how he builds bottoms-up financial models, how diminishing returns shape CAC and forecasting assumptions, and how finance and marketing need to stay aligned around realistic growth expectations. The group also dives into contribution margin, AMER, customer mix, and why so many brands forecast incorrectly when marketing isn’t part of the planning process.</p><p>They then unpack the levers that actually make an ecommerce business profitable: cohort behavior, scaling past category saturation, interpreting flat conversion rates alongside surging traffic, and what contribution dollars really tell you. Richie shares lessons learned from She’s Birdie’s rebuild year and how smaller brands can apply the same financial discipline as companies operating at nine-figure scale.</p><p>If you&#39;re trying to understand your BFCM results, build a forecast that reflects reality, or get finance and marketing speaking the same language, this episode is a must-listen.</p><p><br></p><p>If you have a question for the MOperators Hotline, click the link to be in with a chance of it being discussed on the show: <a href="https://forms.gle/1W7nKoNK5Zakm1Xv6" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://forms.gle/1W7nKoNK5Zakm1Xv6</a></p><p><br></p><p>Chapters:</p><p>00:00:00 - Introduction</p><p>00:06:40 - BFCM recap</p><p>00:24:47 - Media Mix Strategy</p><p>00:41:52 - International Markets</p><p>00:53:44 - FP&amp;A Background</p><p>01:07:05 - Building a Forecast</p><p><br></p><p>Powered by:</p><p>Motion.<a href="⁠⁠⁠https://motionapp.com/pricing?utm_source=marketing-operators-podcast&utm_medium=paidsponsor&utm_campaign=march-2024-ad-reads⁠⁠⁠https://motionapp.com/creative-trends" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">⁠⁠⁠https://motionapp.com/pricing?utm_source=marketing-operators-podcast&amp;utm_medium=paidsponsor&amp;utm_campaign=march-2024-ad-reads⁠⁠⁠https://motionapp.com/creative-trends</a></p><p><br></p><p>Prescient AI.⁠⁠⁠<a href="https://www.prescientai.com/operators" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.prescientai.com/operators</a></p><p><br></p><p>Richpanel.⁠⁠⁠<a href="https://www.richpanel.com/?utm_source=MO&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=ytdesc" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.richpanel.com/?utm_source=MO&amp;utm_medium=podcast&amp;utm_campaign=ytdesc</a></p><p><br></p><p>Aftersell.<a href="https://www.aftersell.com/operators" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.aftersell.com/operators</a></p><p><br></p><p>Haus.<a href="http://Haus.io/operators" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">http://Haus.io/operators</a></p><p><br></p><p>Subscribe to the 9 Operators Podcast here: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@Operators9" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.youtube.com/@Operators9</a></p><p><br></p><p>Subscribe to the Finance Operators Podcast here: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceOperatorsFOPS" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceOperatorsFOPS</a></p><p><br></p><p>Sign up to the 9 Operators newsletter here: <a href="https://9operators.com/" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://9operators.com/</a></p>

Marketing Operators

Marketing Operators I Connor Rolain I Connor MacDonald I Cody Plofker

Black Friday Cyber Monday Recap & The Forecasting Process Behind Ecom Profit - with Richie Mashiko

DEC 9, 202584 MIN
Marketing Operators

Black Friday Cyber Monday Recap & The Forecasting Process Behind Ecom Profit - with Richie Mashiko

DEC 9, 202584 MIN

Description

<p>This week, we’re joined by Richie Mashiko - Head of Beacon at Iris Finance for a full breakdown of how BFCM played out across their businesses. Together, the group recaps what actually drove performance this year, from media-mix diversification and top-of-funnel investment to traffic dynamics, conversion-rate behavior, and how different brand sizes approached Cyber Five strategy.</p><p>From there, Richie walks through his forecasting philosophy - including how he builds bottoms-up financial models, how diminishing returns shape CAC and forecasting assumptions, and how finance and marketing need to stay aligned around realistic growth expectations. The group also dives into contribution margin, AMER, customer mix, and why so many brands forecast incorrectly when marketing isn’t part of the planning process.</p><p>They then unpack the levers that actually make an ecommerce business profitable: cohort behavior, scaling past category saturation, interpreting flat conversion rates alongside surging traffic, and what contribution dollars really tell you. Richie shares lessons learned from She’s Birdie’s rebuild year and how smaller brands can apply the same financial discipline as companies operating at nine-figure scale.</p><p>If you&#39;re trying to understand your BFCM results, build a forecast that reflects reality, or get finance and marketing speaking the same language, this episode is a must-listen.</p><p><br></p><p>If you have a question for the MOperators Hotline, click the link to be in with a chance of it being discussed on the show: <a href="https://forms.gle/1W7nKoNK5Zakm1Xv6" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://forms.gle/1W7nKoNK5Zakm1Xv6</a></p><p><br></p><p>Chapters:</p><p>00:00:00 - Introduction</p><p>00:06:40 - BFCM recap</p><p>00:24:47 - Media Mix Strategy</p><p>00:41:52 - International Markets</p><p>00:53:44 - FP&amp;A Background</p><p>01:07:05 - Building a Forecast</p><p><br></p><p>Powered by:</p><p>Motion.<a href="⁠⁠⁠https://motionapp.com/pricing?utm_source=marketing-operators-podcast&utm_medium=paidsponsor&utm_campaign=march-2024-ad-reads⁠⁠⁠https://motionapp.com/creative-trends" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">⁠⁠⁠https://motionapp.com/pricing?utm_source=marketing-operators-podcast&amp;utm_medium=paidsponsor&amp;utm_campaign=march-2024-ad-reads⁠⁠⁠https://motionapp.com/creative-trends</a></p><p><br></p><p>Prescient AI.⁠⁠⁠<a href="https://www.prescientai.com/operators" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.prescientai.com/operators</a></p><p><br></p><p>Richpanel.⁠⁠⁠<a href="https://www.richpanel.com/?utm_source=MO&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=ytdesc" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.richpanel.com/?utm_source=MO&amp;utm_medium=podcast&amp;utm_campaign=ytdesc</a></p><p><br></p><p>Aftersell.<a href="https://www.aftersell.com/operators" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.aftersell.com/operators</a></p><p><br></p><p>Haus.<a href="http://Haus.io/operators" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">http://Haus.io/operators</a></p><p><br></p><p>Subscribe to the 9 Operators Podcast here: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@Operators9" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.youtube.com/@Operators9</a></p><p><br></p><p>Subscribe to the Finance Operators Podcast here: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceOperatorsFOPS" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceOperatorsFOPS</a></p><p><br></p><p>Sign up to the 9 Operators newsletter here: <a href="https://9operators.com/" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://9operators.com/</a></p>