<p>This week, <strong>Mark Leonard</strong> is joined by<strong> Kelsey Davenport</strong>, director for non-proliferation policy at the Arms Control Association, and <strong>Ellie Geranmayeh</strong>, deputy director of ECFR’s Middle East and North Africa programme, to introduce ECFR’s <a href="https://ecfr.eu/special/iran-nuclear-monitor/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Iran nuclear monitor</a>. The new online tool, updated monthly, forecasts Iran’s nuclear programme after a year of Israeli and American strikes, and maps possible paths for future negotiations, inspections and escalation. </p><br><p>Almost a year on from the first US and Israeli bombings of Iran, uncertainty is growing around the future of the country’s nuclear programme. With a fragile ceasefire in place, Mark, Kelsey and Ellie discuss the six scenarios outlined in the Iran nuclear monitor and whether Europe has a role in shaping negotiations. They also suggest that military strikes alone have not resolved the nuclear dilemma: instead, any durable agreement will likely depend on phased confidence-building, intrusive inspections and difficult political compromises on both sides. </p><br><p>Together, they explore three critical questions shaping the future of peace negotiations: What will happen to Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium? Can Tehran and Washington overcome disagreements over uranium enrichment and the duration of a moratorium on Iran’s nuclear activities? And how can international inspectors rebuild monitoring after nearly a year without full access to Iran’s nuclear sites? </p><br><p>The link to the Iran nuclear monitor could be reached <a href="https://ecfr.eu/special/iran-nuclear-monitor/?video=how-to-use" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>. </p><hr><p style='color:grey; font-size:0.75em;'> Hosted on Acast. See <a style='color:grey;' target='_blank' rel='noopener noreferrer' href='https://acast.com/privacy'>acast.com/privacy</a> for more information.</p>