Last week Dan, Cheryl and I talked through the implications of the US-Israeli strikes on Iran. Cheryl gave us a damage assessment, we worked out the domestic politics, and Dan gave some thoughts both on Trump and on the broader international implications. I talked the airpower angle, contrasting the Israeli performance with Russia’s air campaign in Ukraine. Some links of note:

• Details of the strike.
• Jeffrey Lewis on Iran’s trajectory towards a bomb.
• Ankit Panda on the flagging non-proliferation regime.
• When the cards were down, Moscow and Beijing were nowhere to be found.
• Speaking of cards, Tulsi folded like a house of them…
• Israeli success has made the Saudis nervous.

As a policy matter, I think Trump officials are smart to lie about the destruction of Iran's nuclear program to avoid being drawn further into this shit show. As a professional with a reputation to uphold, I have to point out that these statements are untrue. It's a weird time.

— Jeffrey Lewis (@armscontrolwonk.bsky.social) 2025-06-29T19:03:38.299Z

Transcript is here.

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The post LGM Podcast: In the Wake of the Iran Strikes appeared first on Lawyers, Guns & Money.