Investors' Insights and Market Updates
Investors' Insights and Market Updates

Investors' Insights and Market Updates

Fi Plan Partners

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Investing insights on the markets and economy providing strategies designed to grow your wealth

Recent Episodes

Closing Out 2025
DEC 22, 2025
Closing Out 2025
<p><strong><span style="font-size: 20pt;">Closing Out 2025: Setting the Stage for 2026</span></strong><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;">As 2025 comes to a close, the economic landscape offers both reassurance and reason for vigilance as we look ahead to 2026. Inflation has been the defining theme of the year, and recent data suggests meaningful progress. The latest CPI reading for November showed inflation at 2.7% year-over-year, below expectations of 3.1%. While this data should be interpreted cautiously due to missing October inflation and unemployment figures, the broader takeaway is clear: inflation remains below 3% and is not rebounding aggressively, even amid ongoing tariff concerns. This marks a productive year in the fight against inflation. However, history suggests the story may not be over. Inflation has often moved in waves, with pauses followed by renewed surges. Current trends indicate we may be in one of those pause periods. Previous inflationary eras, such as those beginning in 1910, 1939, and 1972, saw inflation reaccelerate after similar lulls. One underappreciated factor bears close watching: money supply growth. Currently expanding at roughly 4.6%, money supply has historically been a leading indicator of renewed inflationary pressure. Should inflation move higher in 2026, it would likely remain a central driver of market behavior and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty. This is a dynamic that will continue to shape economic headlines and investment decision-making in the year ahead.</span></p> <p><strong><span style="font-size: 20pt;">Lower Gas Prices and a Tailwind for Holiday Travel</span></strong><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;">One encouraging contributor to easing inflation is the recent decline in gas prices, welcome news during the busiest travel season of the year. AAA estimates that approximately 122.4 million Americans will drive more than 50 miles from home between now and year-end. On a typical day, the U.S. consumes about 376 million gallons of gasoline, a figure expected to rise significantly during this peak travel period. Even small changes in gas prices have an outsized economic impact. A 10-cent decrease at the pump translates into roughly $40 million in daily savings for the U.S. economy. Over the past year, gas prices have fallen about 10%, while oil has dropped more than 30%. This gap suggests gas prices may have further room to decline as they catch up with oil’s sustained downward trend. Lower fuel costs provide a dual benefit: easing inflationary pressure heading into 2026 and giving consumers a financial tailwind during the holiday shopping season. For households and the broader economy alike, this trend is a timely and positive development.</span></p> <p><strong><span style="font-size: 20pt;">Market Rotation and the Santa Claus Rally</span></strong><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;">As the year winds down, attention often turns to the so-called “Santa Claus rally,” a seasonal market pattern that spans the final five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next. This rally does not begin until Christmas Eve, meaning expectations should remain measured until that window arrives. Historically, markets have tended to post gains during this short period, though outcomes are never guaranteed. Still, performance during these days is often viewed as an indicator heading into the new year. Beyond seasonal trends, market rotation has been a notable feature of recent months. While headline indexes may appear to have stalled in November and December, the underlying story is more constructive. The top-performing 10% of stocks from January through October, leaders for much of the year, have recently underperformed, while previously lagging segments have begun to outperform. This broadening of leadership is a hallmark of a healthier market. Recent milestones underscore this rotation. Bank of America reached an all-time high for the first time since 2006, and Cisco achieved a new high for the first time since 2000, nearly 25 years. These examples are not about individual stock recommendations and are about illustrating how leadership is spreading across sectors and styles, reinforcing the durability of the broader market environment.</span></p> <p><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/greg-powell/"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Greg Powell, CIMA®</span></a><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> President and CEO</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Greg Powell <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/bobby-norman-cfp/">Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Managing Director</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Bobby Norman <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/team-new/trey-booth-cfa-aif/">Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Chief Investment Officer</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Trey Booth <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/ty-miller/">Ty Miller</a><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/bobby-norman-cfp/">, AIF®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 18.6667px;">Vice President</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Ty Miller <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. </span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss.</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.</span></p><p>The post <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/closing-out-2025/">Closing Out 2025</a> first appeared on <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com">Fi Plan Partners</a>.</p>
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4 MIN
529 Plans – Overview and Important Changes
DEC 18, 2025
529 Plans – Overview and Important Changes
<p><span style="font-size: 16pt;">On this week’s episode of <em>Educational Insights</em>, Robert Moody breaks down the latest updates to 529 plans, including new tax benefits, scholarship withdrawal flexibility, and even the ability to roll unused funds into a beneficiary’s Roth IRA. These changes give families more control than ever over education and retirement planning, with several little-known rules that could make a major financial difference. Don’t miss this quick breakdown of what’s new, what’s changing, and how to make the most of your 529.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 16pt;">Watch to learn more.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/robert-moody/">Robert Moody, CFP®, CEPA®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 18.6667px;">Senior Vice President</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Robert Moody <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. </span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss.</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.</span></p><p>The post <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/529-plans-overview-and-important-changes/">529 Plans – Overview and Important Changes</a> first appeared on <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com">Fi Plan Partners</a>.</p>
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4 MIN
We’ve Never Seen…
DEC 15, 2025
We’ve Never Seen…
<p><strong><span style="font-size: 20pt;">Corporate Earnings and a Broadening Market</span></strong><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;">One of the most compelling themes as we transition from 2025 into 2026 is the continued strength of corporate earnings. Estimated 12-month S&amp;P 500 operating margins have climbed to historically impressive levels, reinforcing the idea that Corporate America remains on solid financial footing. As has been noted, a recession accompanied by positive earnings growth would be unprecedented, and that matters. Strong earnings not only support near-term market stability but also create a longer runway for continued performance. Beyond earnings strength alone, another encouraging development is the broadening of market participation. Over the last several years, market returns have been dominated by a small group of large-cap technology stocks. That concentration has been a frequent concern for investors. Encouragingly, earnings growth among the remaining 493 companies in the S&amp;P 500 is now expected to converge with that of the so-called “Magnificent Seven.” This shift suggests that market leadership may become more balanced in 2026. If that trend continues, it could represent one of the most important investment narratives of the coming year and a meaningful opportunity as portfolios are positioned for the future.</span></p> <p><strong><span style="font-size: 20pt;">The Federal Reserve and the Flow-Through to the Economy</span></strong><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;">While earnings and market breadth tell one part of the story, monetary policy remains a critical variable. The Federal Reserve recently concluded its final meeting of the year with a 25-basis-point rate cut, placing the federal funds rate in a range of 3.5% to 3.75%. More significant than the cut itself was the language used by the Fed, signaling that rates are now within a plausible estimate of neutral. In practical terms, this suggests a likely pause in rate cuts in the near term. From our perspective, that pause is a positive development. It allows time for previously implemented cuts to work their way through the economy. Short-term rates affect savers, but long-term rates, where businesses and individuals borrow, are what truly drive economic activity. One area we are watching particularly closely is the spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 30-year mortgage rate. While the U.S. government may borrow near 4%, many individuals are still borrowing at rates above 6%, creating a wider-than-average spread. Historically, that spread averages closer to 1.77%. Even without dramatic declines in Treasury yields, a return to historical norms could significantly lower mortgage rates and materially improve affordability for borrowers. A stable Fed, combined with time for rate cuts to flow through to long-term borrowing costs, could provide meaningful relief to households and businesses alike. Importantly, if the economy remains strong, with healthy earnings and resilient markets, the Fed does not need to act aggressively. In that context, a pause becomes a signal of confidence rather than concern.</span></p> <p><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/greg-powell/"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Greg Powell, CIMA®</span></a><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> President and CEO</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Greg Powell <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/bobby-norman-cfp/">Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Managing Director</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Bobby Norman <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/team-new/trey-booth-cfa-aif/">Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Chief Investment Officer</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Trey Booth <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/ty-miller/">Ty Miller</a><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/bobby-norman-cfp/">, AIF®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 18.6667px;">Vice President</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Ty Miller <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. </span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss.</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.</span></p><p>The post <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/weve-never-seen/">We’ve Never Seen…</a> first appeared on <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com">Fi Plan Partners</a>.</p>
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4 MIN
Fed Up with the Fed and AI
DEC 8, 2025
Fed Up with the Fed and AI
<p><strong><span style="font-size: 20pt;">The Fed’s Crucial Role and What Comes Next</span></strong><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;">The Federal Reserve continues to dominate market conversations, and for good reason. Each decision the Fed makes, particularly regarding interest rates, carries direct implications for markets, borrowing, saving, and overall economic momentum. This week’s meeting is no exception. The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points, but the real story lies beyond the short-term benchmark rate. While the Fed controls the front end of the yield curve, long-term rates move largely on market forces. That distinction matters: savers benefit from high short-term yields, but it’s borrowers who depend on lower long-term rates. Recently, even as the Fed has cut rates, long-term yields have plateaued or drifted higher, reducing the intended impact of monetary easing. Whether long-term rates follow this next cut will be a critical signal for what comes next. This meeting also arrives at a transitional moment. It is likely the final meeting before a new Federal Reserve Chair is announced, with expectations centered around Kevin Hassett, though, as always, presidential decisions remain unpredictable. By the next meeting in late January, Chair Powell will be operating as a lame-duck leader, with his successor already named. Additionally, the Fed has recently halted its balance-sheet reduction, introducing more uncertainty into how they approach liquidity and money supply management going forward. With so many moving parts, rate cuts, balance sheet policy, and leadership changes, this week’s meeting is likely to spark notable market reaction.</span></p> <p><strong><span style="font-size: 20pt;">Global Equity Trends Strengthen the Outlook</span></strong><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;">Alongside improving U.S. economic fundamentals, such as strong corporate earnings, moderating rates, and steady consumer resilience, global equity markets have been quietly building positive momentum. Nearly every major global index has shifted into a positive trend, a significant development after years of mixed or uneven global performance. Most global markets made this turn in 2025, signaling that equity strength is no longer isolated to the U.S. but is broadening worldwide. This synchronized uptrend is a constructive sign for investors and supports a healthier market environment heading into 2026. With global momentum now aligning with domestic fundamentals, the market backdrop continues to strengthen on multiple fronts.</span></p> <p><strong><span style="font-size: 20pt;">The Truth Behind Today’s AI Bubble Fears</span></strong><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;">Concerns about a potential AI-driven market bubble have become increasingly common, both in financial news and in client conversations. However, current data suggests the sector’s growth is not speculative in the way many fear. Technology stocks have indeed rallied, but importantly, their valuations have not expanded beyond what earnings justify. Year-to-date, there has been no multiple expansion in the technology sector, meaning prices have risen because profits have risen, not because investors are blindly paying more for the same fundamentals. A comparison of current valuations to those seen during the dot-com bubble further underscores the difference. In March 2000, many companies traded at 100–150 times forward earnings. Today, nearly all major technology companies remain under 50 times earnings. While not “cheap,” these valuations are grounded in real profitability and genuine business strength. The landscape is nowhere near the speculative extremes of 2000. In short, while AI is a powerful long-term theme, the data does not support the idea that markets have entered an AI bubble, at least not yet.</span></p> <p><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/greg-powell/"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Greg Powell, CIMA®</span></a><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> President and CEO</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Greg Powell <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/bobby-norman-cfp/">Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Managing Director</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Bobby Norman <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/team-new/trey-booth-cfa-aif/">Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Chief Investment Officer</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Trey Booth <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/ty-miller/">Ty Miller</a><a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/our-team/bobby-norman-cfp/">, AIF®</a></span><br /> <span style="font-size: 18.6667px;">Vice President</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Ty Miller <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. </span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss.</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.</span></p><p>The post <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/fed-up-with-the-fed-and-ai/">Fed Up with the Fed and AI</a> first appeared on <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com">Fi Plan Partners</a>.</p>
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4 MIN
Manufacturing and the US GDP
DEC 4, 2025
Manufacturing and the US GDP
<p><span style="font-size: 16pt;">On this week’s episode of <em>Educational Insights</em>, Ashley Page breaks down why America’s manufacturing sector has slipped from 25% of the GDP in the 1950s to just 9.7% today and why restoring it could be transformative. He highlights how boosting manufacturing back to even 15% could strengthen the middle class, enhance national security, fuel innovation, and revitalize communities across the country. Tune in to discover why a manufacturing revival could reshape our economy and create new opportunities for communities nationwide.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 16pt;">Watch to learn more.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><a href="http://fiplanpartners.com/team-new/ashley-page-jd-mba/">Ashley Page</a>, JD, MBA</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Senior Vice President</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Wealth Consultant</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Email Ashley Page <a href="mailto:[email protected]">here</a></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. </span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss.</span><br /> <span style="font-size: 14pt;"> Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.</span></p><p>The post <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com/manufacturing-and-the-us-gdp/">Manufacturing and the US GDP</a> first appeared on <a href="https://fiplanpartners.com">Fi Plan Partners</a>.</p>
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9 MIN