The Best, and Worst, on the JSE in 2025

DEC 9, 202517 MIN
WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

The Best, and Worst, on the JSE in 2025

DEC 9, 202517 MIN

Description

🌍 Worldwide Markets β€” Episode 660 πŸŽ™οΈ The Best and Worst of the JSE in 2025 πŸ“… 10 December 2025 🎧 Final episode of the year β€” back 14 January 2026 πŸ’Ό Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets & Shyft 🏁 Opening Thoughts Last podcast of 2025! πŸŽ‰ A huge thank-you to listeners, watchers and everyone who engaged across the year πŸ™ A wild year for markets, but a great year for returns πŸ“ˆ Wishing everyone a restful and safe festive break ✈️🌞 πŸŽ₯ Power Hour Recap β€” Position Your Portfolio for 2026 πŸ“Œ Highlights included: πŸ”™ Looking back at 2025's predictions (keeping it honest!) πŸ€– The state of AI: spotting bubbles, when to worry, triggers to watch πŸ’° Gold & commodities outlook πŸ›οΈ Local retail β€” opportunities & risks πŸš€ IPO environment 🧭 Positioning for 2026 Watch here. πŸ₯‡ Best Performers of the JSE in 2025 πŸͺ™ 1. Precious Metals: The Dominant Theme of 2025 Gold & PGM miners absolutely owned the market this year. If you weren't in them… your portfolio lagged the benchmark. Top returns (total return to 8 Dec): πŸ₯‡ Sibanye-Stillwater* β€” +258% 🀯 πŸ₯ˆ AngloGold Ashanti* β€” ~+240% πŸ₯‰ Northam β€” +214% πŸ… Gold Fields β€” +195% Implats β€” +153% Thungela / Valterra / others β€” 130–140% range Harmony β€” +119% πŸ“Œ Why the boom? Gold price exploded early in the year πŸŒ• Safe-haven flows amid tariff drama, budgets, DeepSeek shock Strong production + not-yet-expensive valuations πŸ’¬ Simon: Still bullish on gold miners β€” not expecting another double, but valuations remain attractive if gold holds current levels. πŸŽ“ 2. Education Sector Winners πŸŽ“ Stadio β€” +89% πŸ§‘β€πŸ« Killed it with distance learning demand and tertiary approvals πŸ“‰ Curo delisted; ADvTech* solid with +20% 🟣 3. Purple Group* & EasyEquities +87% πŸš€ Bull markets = busy brokers Results were slightly soft in H2 (bonuses cycle), but long-term story intact πŸ“‘ 4. Telcos Roar Back (From a Very Low Base) πŸ“± MTN β€” +76% πŸ”΅ Blue Label β€” +73% (Cell C momentum) πŸ”Œ IOCA β€” +65% ☎️ Telkom β€” +60% πŸŸ₯ Vodacom β€” +38% πŸ“Œ Simon sold MTN a decade ago during the Nigerian fine panic β€” and never re-entered. Lesson: When it's time to panic, panic fast. πŸ’° 5. Standout Financials & Miscellaneous πŸŸͺ Sygnia β€” +72% πŸ’» Datatec β€” +70% (surprise performer) πŸ— Astral β€” +49% (thanks, cheaper maize!) πŸ“ Rainbow Chicken β€” +43% 🏒 Growthpoint β€” +48% (big dividends) 🧱 Property sector broadly strong again: Redefine, Octodec, etc. 🏦 PSG Financial Services β€” +40% πŸ’Ό Capitec β€” +29% 🏦 Standard Bank β€” +31% β€” notably ahead of Capitec 🟧 Naspers β€” +25% (Simon sees opportunity post-share split) πŸ›’οΈ Sasol β€” +25% (still not a favourite) πŸ›’ 6. Retail: The Year's Big Disappointment πŸ›‹οΈ Lewis β€” +22% (but deep down the list) πŸ₯© Spur β€” +15% πŸ— Famous Brands β€” –16% πŸ›’ Shoprite* β€” –4.6% (value emerging) πŸ›οΈ Pick n Pay β€” –17% (slow turnaround) πŸ‘— Mr Price* β€” –26% (Simon still sees value) πŸ‘Ÿ Pepkor β€” weak, but potential for recovery πŸ”» Worst Performers of the JSE in 2025 πŸ’₯ Biggest Losers 🚨 Nutun / Transaction Capital legacy β€” –52% πŸ‘— Foschini* (TFG) β€” –50% πŸ“„ Sappi β€” –46% (ongoing structural challenges) 🧱 Afrimat β€” –43% (Lafarge integration still tough; Simon sees opportunity) πŸ’‰ Aspen β€” –43% (lost sterile facility contract; utilization still weak) πŸ”§ Cashbuild β€” –37% (SA consumers tapped out) πŸ“Ί eMedia β€” heavy selling post-unbundling πŸ›’ Retailers Under Pressure πŸ₯€ Spar β€” –28% (competition from Boxer + Shoprite* + Pick n Pay) πŸ‘– Mr Price* β€” –26% πŸ” Famous Brands β€” –16% 🍩 Life Healthcare, Renergen*, ArcelorMittal SA β€” all struggling πŸ“‰ Macro, Risks & 2026 Outlook 🌱 Green Shoots in South Africa Early signs of improvement appearing Fragile but real: improving volumes, some recovery in SA Inc, stabilising consumer pockets REITs & banks starting from low valuations ⚠️ Risks Moody's kept SA unchanged; risks tilt to the downside A global AI bubble burst would hit emerging markets hard External shocks more dangerous than local issues πŸ“ˆ Global Watch: The Mag 7 & Market Signals Bubble warning model: Two giants below the 200-day MA Meta dipped back below β€” but still only one of the seven triggering Nvidia chart still healthy Gold still bullish Oil looks very weak 🀝 Closing the Year Simon wraps 2025 with gratitude and optimism: ✨ "It's been a year β€” a wild one β€” but at least we got returns." ❄️ Be safe this festive season πŸ™Œ Special thanks to those working through December (retail, hospitality, logistics) πŸŽ™οΈ Back 14 January 2026 with the annual predictions show featuring Keith McLachlan & Marc Ashton β€” and, as always, they'll mark themselves before forecasting ahead. πŸ”— Powered By 🏦 Standard Bank Global Markets 🌍 Shyft – the global money app πŸ’Έ Cheapest Forex rates, anywhere, anytime Simon Brown * I hold ungeared positions. All charts by KoyFin | Get 10% off your order