Episode 318: Inside The New Mexico Governor Race Numbers

A seven point lead sounds decisive until you look under the hood. We walk through a new New Mexico governor poll and explain why the details matter: 1,125 interviews, 100% phone survey work, nine days in the field, and a tight margin of error. From there, we get practical about what the numbers actually mean for Deb Haaland and Gregg Hull, including name ID, the money gap, and why “undecided” often hides softer preferences that only show up late. Next, we zoom in on the parts of the crosstabs that decide elections in New Mexico: regional vote math in the Albuquerque metro, the persistent gender gap, the Hispanic vote, and the growing importance of independent voters. We also react to dueling attack ads from outside groups, including what lands with persuadable voters and why refusing to draw contrasts can be a strategic mistake when the other side has more money and more airtime. Then we pan out to the national midterm picture with a tour of the most competitive U.S. Senate races, the growing impact of candidate quality, and voter registration trends in key swing states. Finally, we end on a sharp left turn that still fits the theme of evidence: a new documentary claims the Patterson Gimlin Bigfoot film may be a hoax, and we follow it up with game camera footage that proves at least one thing is real, predators on the mountain. Subscribe, share this with a friend who loves politics or Bigfoot, and leave us a rating and review so more people can find the show. Website: https://www.nodoubtaboutitpodcast.com/ Twitter: @nodoubtpodcast Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NoDoubtAboutItPod/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/markronchettinm/?igshid=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ%3D%3D