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The Daily Discipline from Project MNDST
Tom Carter
Episode 166: Survivorship Bias
OCT 20, 20262 MIN
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Description
Today's episode teaches survivorship bias — the trap of learning only from what made it back — credited to Abraham Wald, the statistician who famously showed the U.S. military it was studying the wrong bullet holes on World War Two bombers. Today's small action: pick one belief you hold about what works, and spend five minutes looking for the failures you never heard about.
Key Topics: survivorship bias, perception and clarity, decision-making, mental models, Abraham Wald, self-honesty, avoiding cognitive bias
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