Richard Duncan on Creditism, the AI Arms Race, and “Cognitism” | Macro Watch

📚 Unlock the secrets to building wealth! My book and 12-module Masterclass cover everything I’ve learned about passive investing and creating financial freedom. Watch it on-demand for FREE: http://thewealthelevator.com/master 🤝 Join the Hui Deal Pipeline Club and get a one-on-one call with me to discuss your investment goals: https://thewealthelevator.com/club Lane interviews economist Richard Duncan (author of The Dollar Crisis and The Money Revolution and publisher of Macro Watch) about how ending the gold standard in 1971 shifted capitalism into “creditism,” enabling massive US trade deficits, disinflation, falling rates, and explosive growth in debt and Fed balance sheet expansion that prevented depressions in 2008 and during COVID. Duncan contrasts post-2008 low inflation with post-COVID inflation driven by supply-chain blockages, and argues credit-driven liquidity has inflated asset valuations while accelerating AI breakthroughs and fueling China’s rise via persistent US deficits. They discuss the US–China AI and defense race, energy and nuclear power needs, and risks from higher inflation and rates amid stretched valuations. Duncan introduces “cognitism,” a coming system driven by exponentially expanding AI intelligence, and highlights sectors tied to AI, semiconductors, energy, data centers, robotics, and defense, plus key macro indicators to watch. 00:00 Meet Richard Duncan 00:44 Macro Watch Discount 01:03 From Gold to Creditism 05:09 Why Old Theories Fail 06:28 Credit Growth and 2008 08:31 COVID QE and Inflation 10:54 Debt Wealth and AI Boom 14:00 China AI Arms Race 17:12 Energy Nuclear and Chips 22:07 Stretched Valuations Risks 31:58 Cognitism Explained 37:36 AI Skills and Sectors 41:13 What to Watch Next 47:40 Wrap Up and Subscribe Connect with me: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lanekawaoka/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheWealthElevator Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/TheWealthElevator Lane Kawaoka is a developer and multi-family syndicator who owns 10,000+ rental units and is the leader of “Hui Deal Pipeline Club” which has acquired over $2.1 Billion AUM of real estate by syndicating over $200 Million Dollars of private equity and most importantly distributed more than $45M back to our investors since 2016. Check out our Top-50 Investing Podcast, The Wealth Elevator. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.