<description>&lt;p&gt;Flip Pidot, founder of American Civics Exchange, joins the podcast to discuss trends in polling and prediction markets and why these are increasingly pointing to victory for Donald Trump -- and a Republican sweep of Congress.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;em&gt;This podcast episode was recorded on Oct. 22, 2024, and made available for premium subscribers that same day -- without ads or announcements. More information on premium membership options is available &lt;a href="https://contrarianpod.substack.com/subscribe" target="_blank" rel="noopener"&gt;on our Substack page&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;h1&gt;Content Highlights&lt;/h1&gt; &lt;ul&gt; &lt;li&gt;What started as a toss-up has quickly moved to resounding victory for Trump (1:38);&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;About $40 million-worth of pro-Trump bets have flooded prediction markets in recent weeks (4:55);&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Early vote data is also clearly favoring Trump (12:58);&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Background on the guest (23:05);&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;If the outcome of the election is close, either side is likely to immediately challenge the results in court (34:30);&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Fortunately, the guest views the likelihood as remote (40:28)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;/ul&gt; &lt;h1&gt;More From the Guest&lt;/h1&gt; &lt;ul&gt; &lt;li&gt;Website: &lt;a href="https://amciv.com/" target="_blank" rel= "noopener"&gt;AmCiv.com&lt;/a&gt;;&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;X: &lt;a href="https://x.com/FlipPidot" target="_blank" rel= "noopener"&gt;@FlipPidot&lt;/a&gt;;&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Prediction/polling aggregator: &lt;a href= "https://www.thesupermodel.com/" target="_blank" rel= "noopener"&gt;TheSupermodel.com&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;/ul&gt;</description>

The Contrarian Investor Podcast

Nathaniel E. Baker

Trends Point to Trump Victory, Republican Sweep: Flip Pidot

OCT 23, 202448 MIN
The Contrarian Investor Podcast

Trends Point to Trump Victory, Republican Sweep: Flip Pidot

OCT 23, 202448 MIN

Description

Flip Pidot, founder of American Civics Exchange, joins the podcast to discuss trends in polling and prediction markets and why these are increasingly pointing to victory for Donald Trump -- and a Republican sweep of Congress.

This podcast episode was recorded on Oct. 22, 2024, and made available for premium subscribers that same day -- without ads or announcements. More information on premium membership options is available on our Substack page. Content Highlights
  • What started as a toss-up has quickly moved to resounding victory for Trump (1:38);
  • About $40 million-worth of pro-Trump bets have flooded prediction markets in recent weeks (4:55);
  • Early vote data is also clearly favoring Trump (12:58);
  • Background on the guest (23:05);
  • If the outcome of the election is close, either side is likely to immediately challenge the results in court (34:30);
  • Fortunately, the guest views the likelihood as remote (40:28)
More From the Guest