<description>&lt;p&gt;In this episode, John and I got to do a real deep-dive with Elon. We discuss the economics of orbital data centers, the difficulties of scaling power on Earth, what it would take to manufacture humanoids at high-volume in America, xAI’s business and alignment plans, DOGE, and much more.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Watch on &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://youtu.be/BYXbuik3dgA"&gt;YouTube&lt;/a&gt;; read the &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/elon-musk"&gt;transcript&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Sponsors&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;* &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://mercury.com/personal-banking"&gt;Mercury&lt;/a&gt; just started offering personal banking! I’m already banking with Mercury for business purposes, so getting to bank with them for my personal life makes everything so much simpler. Apply now at &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://mercury.com/personal-banking"&gt;mercury.com/personal-banking&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;* &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://janestreet.com/dwarkesh"&gt;Jane Street&lt;/a&gt; sent me a new puzzle last week: they trained a neural net, shuffled all 96 layers, and asked me to put them back in order. I tried but… I didn’t quite nail it. If you’re curious, or if you think you can do better, you should take a stab at &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://janestreet.com/dwarkesh"&gt;janestreet.com/dwarkesh&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;* &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://labelbox.com/dwarkesh"&gt;Labelbox&lt;/a&gt; can get you robotics and RL data at scale. Labelbox starts by helping you define your ideal data distribution, and then their massive Alignerr network collects frontier-grade data that you can use to train your models. Learn more at &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://labelbox.com/dwarkesh"&gt;labelbox.com/dwarkesh&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Timestamps&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;(00:00:00) - Orbital data centers&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;(00:36:46) - Grok and alignment&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;(00:59:56) - xAI’s business plan&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;(01:17:21) - Optimus and humanoid manufacturing&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;(01:30:22) - Does China win by default?&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;(01:44:16) - Lessons from running SpaceX&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;(02:20:08) - DOGE&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;(02:38:28) - TeraFab&lt;/p&gt; &lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at &lt;a href="https://www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&amp;#38;utm_campaign=CTA_4"&gt;www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe&lt;/a&gt;</description>

Dwarkesh Podcast

Dwarkesh Patel

Elon Musk — "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

FEB 5, 2026169 MIN
Dwarkesh Podcast

Elon Musk — "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

FEB 5, 2026169 MIN

Description

<p>In this episode, John and I got to do a real deep-dive with Elon. We discuss the economics of orbital data centers, the difficulties of scaling power on Earth, what it would take to manufacture humanoids at high-volume in America, xAI’s business and alignment plans, DOGE, and much more.</p><p>Watch on <a target="_blank" href="https://youtu.be/BYXbuik3dgA">YouTube</a>; read the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/elon-musk">transcript</a>.</p><p>Sponsors</p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://mercury.com/personal-banking">Mercury</a> just started offering personal banking! I’m already banking with Mercury for business purposes, so getting to bank with them for my personal life makes everything so much simpler. Apply now at <a target="_blank" href="https://mercury.com/personal-banking">mercury.com/personal-banking</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://janestreet.com/dwarkesh">Jane Street</a> sent me a new puzzle last week: they trained a neural net, shuffled all 96 layers, and asked me to put them back in order. I tried but… I didn’t quite nail it. If you’re curious, or if you think you can do better, you should take a stab at <a target="_blank" href="https://janestreet.com/dwarkesh">janestreet.com/dwarkesh</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://labelbox.com/dwarkesh">Labelbox</a> can get you robotics and RL data at scale. Labelbox starts by helping you define your ideal data distribution, and then their massive Alignerr network collects frontier-grade data that you can use to train your models. Learn more at <a target="_blank" href="https://labelbox.com/dwarkesh">labelbox.com/dwarkesh</a></p><p>Timestamps</p><p>(00:00:00) - Orbital data centers</p><p>(00:36:46) - Grok and alignment</p><p>(00:59:56) - xAI’s business plan</p><p>(01:17:21) - Optimus and humanoid manufacturing</p><p>(01:30:22) - Does China win by default?</p><p>(01:44:16) - Lessons from running SpaceX</p><p>(02:20:08) - DOGE</p><p>(02:38:28) - TeraFab</p> <br/><br/>Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at <a href="https://www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&#38;utm_campaign=CTA_4">www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe</a>