Pershing Square Challenge 2026 finalists pitch Amadeus $AMS | the toll booth on global travel
JUN 4, 202652 MIN
Pershing Square Challenge 2026 finalists pitch Amadeus $AMS | the toll booth on global travel
JUN 4, 202652 MIN
Description
<p>Amadeus $AMS is down roughly 25% because the market lumped it in with the SaaS names AI is supposed to gut. Team Amadeus, Pershing Square Challenge finalists, argue it's the opposite: a deterministic, mission-critical monopoly that AI makes more valuable, not less. We dig into the 50-year-old systems that planes literally can't take off without, why the GDS is the wrong job for an LLM, the Sabre and Constellation Software angle, and what the stock is actually worth.</p><p>Full pitch deck (~75 pages): https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/5bwef8mz2kplx2sub598w/PSC_AMS_LONG_vSent.pdf?rlkey=x5g0v7t1qk8hpg00ewix95hn3&st=rq9nzl4h&dl=0</p><p>This episode is brought to you by Trata. Trata is two investors who get on an anonymized call and talk through the real issues in a stock, bull-to-bull, bear-to-bear, or just getting up to speed. If you like this podcast, you'll like Trata. Check it out at trata.com</p><p>Chapters:</p><p>00:00 Why Amadeus landed on my radar</p><p>01:00 Sponsor: Trata</p><p>02:39 Meet Team Amadeus (Pershing Square Challenge finalists)</p><p>05:20 What Amadeus actually does: the toll booth on global travel</p><p>09:07 The AI fear that broke the stock</p><p>11:13 Is it actually cheap? Valuation and stock comp</p><p>15:26 Why Amadeus tops the AI-risk matrix</p><p>16:32 Air IT Solutions: the SAP of airlines</p><p>22:59 The Microsoft AI director who bet against AI eating this</p><p>24:15 Tech-debt pushback and the JFK field trip</p><p>29:09 Sabre, Constellation Software, and the monopoly complaint</p><p>33:16 How Amadeus won share during COVID</p><p>34:21 The air-distribution network effect</p><p>35:22 Why LLMs are the wrong tool for the GDS</p><p>39:50 The $1B biometrics acquisition</p><p>43:03 Google, Gemini, and the uptime math</p><p>45:47 Fair value and the bull case nobody's pricing</p><p>49:01 Amadeus as an AI beneficiary</p><p>51:02 Closing thoughts</p><p>Links:</p><p>Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com</p><p>See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer</p><p>Production and editing by The Podcast Consultant - https://thepodcastconsultant.com/</p>