Optimal Insights - Transparent Data & Capital Markets Insights

In this week’s episode of Optimal Insights, Jim Glennon, Alex Hebner, James Cahill, and Kevin Foley discuss the Fed’s final rate cut of 2025, labor market uncertainty, and the biggest economic events shaping mortgage rates. They share expert insights on tariffs, tech-driven capital spending, housing trends, and regulatory changes, offering a clear picture of what to expect in 2026.Key Points Discussed:Market update and Fed policy outlookFed’s final 2025 rate cut and hawkish toneLabor market uncertainty and job revisionsUpward pressure on rates from tech investment, tariffs, and volatilityDownward pressure from global conflicts and softening labor marketHousing market slowdown and regional trendsRegulatory changes and FHFA’s creative proposalsAI’s influence on economic dynamics and capital spendingOptimal Insights Team:Jim Glennon, Senior Vice President of Hedging and Trading OperationsAlex Hebner, Hedge Account ManagerJames Cahill, MSF/MSR Account ManagerKevin Foley, Director of Product ManagementProduction Team:Executive Producer: Sara HoltzProducer: Matt GilhoolyCommentary included in the podcast shall not be construed as, nor is Optimal Blue providing, any legal, trading, hedging, or financial advice.Mentioned in this episode:Lock Loans on the Go – Mobile Locking in the Optimal Blue Mobile AppTraditional loan locking slows decisions and ties you to a desk, but borrowers expect instant answers. Optimal Blue’s Mobile Locking changes the game. With our native iOS and Android app, loan officers can access their pipeline, run pricing, and lock loans anytime, anywhere – fast, secure, and accurate. No delays. No extra cost. Just seamless mobility that enhances the borrower experience. Download the Optimal Blue Mobile App today and start locking loans on the go.Mobile LockingSchedule is Live – Optimal Blue SummitThe Optimal Blue Summit 2026 agenda is live! Join us February 23–25 at Talking Stick Resort & Conference Center in Scottsdale, AZ for three days of innovation, insights, and networking. Explore tracks like Activate AI & Automation, Grow Your Profitability, Ensure End-to-End Results, and Tech Showcases & Training – all designed to deliver measurable ROI. Hear from featured speakers including Olympic legend Michael Phelps, MBA President Bob Broeksmit, Chief Economist Michael Fratantoni, and leaders from Optimal Blue. Check out the full agenda and register now at Summit.OptimalBlue.com. Use code HOLIDAY for discounted pricing – available for a limited time. Don’t miss your chance to shape the future of mortgage technology!Summit - OI

In this episode of Optimal Insights, host Jim Glennon is joined by James Cahill and Alex Hebner for a deep dive into the latest market trends and economic signals as we approach year-end. They discuss the impact of tariffs, inflation trends, and employment data, highlighting how these factors influence interest rates and mortgage activity. The conversation covers the Fed’s upcoming meeting, expected rate cuts, and the implications of leadership changes in early 2026.Later, Brennan O’Connell and Mike Vough preview the November 2025 Market Advantage Report, analyzing origination trends, lock volumes, rate movements, and secondary market execution strategies. Key insights include strong refinance activity, non-QM growth, and evolving investor behaviors.Subscribe to the Market Advantage Report to receive the data directly in your inbox: https://www2.optimalblue.com/market-advantageKey Points Discussed:Tariffs and potential Supreme Court ruling on legality.Inflation easing to 2.7% and its effect on rate expectations.Private payroll contraction and small business challenges.Anticipated Fed rate cut and leadership turnover in 2026.November lock volume trends and non-QM share hitting 9%.Secondary market execution shifts and MSR valuation changes.Optimal Insights Team:Jim Glennon, Senior Vice President, Hedging and Trading OperationsAlex Hebner, Hedge Account ManagerJames Cahill, MSF/MSR Account ManagerMike Vough, Senior Vice President, Corporate StrategyBrennan O’Connell, Director of Data SolutionsProduction Team:Executive Producer: Sara HoltzProducer: Matt GilhoolyCommentary included in the podcast shall not be construed as, nor is Optimal Blue providing, any legal, trading, hedging, or financial advice.Mentioned in this episode:Lock Loans on the Go – Mobile Locking in the Optimal Blue Mobile AppTraditional loan locking slows decisions and ties you to a desk, but borrowers expect instant answers. Optimal Blue’s Mobile Locking changes the game. With our native iOS and Android app, loan officers can access their pipeline, run pricing, and lock loans anytime, anywhere – fast, secure, and accurate. No delays. No extra cost. Just seamless mobility that enhances the borrower experience. Download the Optimal Blue Mobile App today and start locking loans on the go.Mobile LockingSchedule is Live – Optimal Blue SummitThe Optimal Blue Summit 2026 agenda is live! Join us February 23–25 at Talking Stick Resort & Conference Center in Scottsdale, AZ for three days of innovation, insights, and networking. Explore tracks like Activate AI & Automation, Grow Your Profitability, Ensure End-to-End Results, and Tech Showcases & Training – all designed to deliver measurable ROI. Hear from featured speakers including Olympic legend Michael Phelps, MBA President Bob Broeksmit, Chief Economist Michael Fratantoni, and leaders from Optimal Blue. Check out the full agenda and register now at Summit.OptimalBlue.com. Use code HOLIDAY for discounted pricing – available for a limited time. Don’t miss your chance to shape the future of mortgage technology!Summit - OI

In this episode, the Optimal Insights team analyzes the lingering effects of the recent government shutdown on economic data and market sentiment. With limited new data available, the conversation centers on the upcoming FOMC meeting, the evolving composition of the Federal Reserve, and the implications for mortgage rates and market confidence.Jim Glennon, Alex Hebner, and James Cahill discuss the increasing dissent within the Fed, the impact on rate expectations, and the potential for significant changes in 2026 as new appointments are made. They also touch on the influence of private payrolls and PCE data, the uncertainty in long-term rates, and the anticipated nomination of Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair.Key Points:Government shutdown has delayed key economic data, increasing market uncertainty.Upcoming FOMC meeting and rate decision are pivotal for the mortgage industry.Rising dissent within the Fed could lead to greater volatility in rate expectations.Mortgage rates remain stubbornly above 6%, with spreads tightening.Optimal Insights Team:Jim Glennon, Vice President of Hedging and Trading Client ServicesAlex Hebner, Hedge Account Manager, Optimal BlueJames Cahill, MSF/MSR Account ManagerProduction Team:Executive Producer: Sara HoltzProducer: Matt GilhoolyCommentary included in the podcast shall not be construed as, nor is Optimal Blue providing, any legal, trading, hedging, or financial advice.Mentioned in this episode:Schedule is Live – Optimal Blue SummitThe Optimal Blue Summit 2026 agenda is live! Join us February 23–25 at Talking Stick Resort & Conference Center in Scottsdale, AZ for three days of innovation, insights, and networking. Explore tracks like Activate AI & Automation, Grow Your Profitability, Ensure End-to-End Results, and Tech Showcases & Training – all designed to deliver measurable ROI. Hear from featured speakers including Olympic legend Michael Phelps, MBA President Bob Broeksmit, Chief Economist Michael Fratantoni, and leaders from Optimal Blue. Check out the full agenda and register now at Summit.OptimalBlue.com. Use code HOLIDAY for discounted pricing – available for a limited time. Don’t miss your chance to shape the future of mortgage technology!Summit - OILock Loans on the Go – Mobile Locking in the Optimal Blue Mobile AppTraditional loan locking slows decisions and ties you to a desk, but borrowers expect instant answers. Optimal Blue’s Mobile Locking changes the game. With our native iOS and Android app, loan officers can access their pipeline, run pricing, and lock loans anytime, anywhere – fast, secure, and accurate. No delays. No extra cost. Just seamless mobility that enhances the borrower experience. Download the Optimal Blue Mobile App today and start locking loans on the go.Mobile Locking

In this episode of Optimal Insights, James Cahill, Alex Hebner, and Kevin Foley share the latest economic updates, covering mortgage rates, Fed rate cut probabilities, and unemployment trends. Then Jim Glennon and Vimi Vasudeva discuss key takeaways from the IMN MSR Conference, including MSR market dynamics, PennyMac’s push for recapture valuation standardization, and creative home equity products like HEI and HELOCs for seniors.Mortgage rates remain high, but volume is strongFed rate cut probabilities fluctuate amid data uncertaintyMSR market shifts toward strategic bulk bidsPennyMac pushes CFPB for recapture valuation standardizationInnovative home equity solutions for seniors and investorsOptimal Insights Team:Jim Glennon, Vice President of Hedging and Trading Client ServicesAlex Hebner, Hedge Account Manager, Optimal BlueJames Cahill, MSF/MSR Account ManagerKevin Foley, Director of Product Management, Optimal BlueVimi Vasudeva, Managing Director of Hedging and Trading Client ServicesProduction Team:Executive Producer: Sara HoltzProducer: Matt GilhoolyCommentary included in the podcast shall not be construed as, nor is Optimal Blue providing, any legal, trading, hedging, or financial advice.Mentioned in this episode:Lock Loans on the Go – Mobile Locking in the Optimal Blue Mobile AppTraditional loan locking slows decisions and ties you to a desk, but borrowers expect instant answers. Optimal Blue’s Mobile Locking changes the game. With our native iOS and Android app, loan officers can access their pipeline, run pricing, and lock loans anytime, anywhere – fast, secure, and accurate. No delays. No extra cost. Just seamless mobility that enhances the borrower experience. Download the Optimal Blue Mobile App today and start locking loans on the go.Mobile LockingSchedule is Live – Optimal Blue SummitThe Optimal Blue Summit 2026 agenda is live! Join us February 23–25 at Talking Stick Resort & Conference Center in Scottsdale, AZ for three days of innovation, insights, and networking. Explore tracks like Activate AI & Automation, Grow Your Profitability, Ensure End-to-End Results, and Tech Showcases & Training – all designed to deliver measurable ROI. Hear from featured speakers including Olympic legend Michael Phelps, MBA President Bob Broeksmit, Chief Economist Michael Fratantoni, and leaders from Optimal Blue. Check out the full agenda and register now at Summit.OptimalBlue.com. Use code HOLIDAY for discounted pricing – available for a limited time. Don’t miss your chance to shape the future of mortgage technology!Summit - OI

In this episode of Optimal Insights, host Jim Glennon is joined by Alex Hebner and James Cahill to unpack the latest developments in the mortgage and macroeconomic landscape. The team discusses the reopening of the U.S. government, the delayed release of September jobs data, and the implications of widespread layoffs in October. They explore the evolving rhetoric around Fed rate cuts, inflation concerns, and the shifting stance of key Fed governors.The episode also features the new Market Advantage segment with Mike Vough and Brennan O’Connell, highlighting October’s mortgage production trends, rate movements, and secondary market dynamics. Notable insights include the rise in non-QM lending, increased pull-through rates, and a shift in servicing retention strategies.Key Topics Covered:Government shutdown resolution and data delaysFed rate cut uncertainty and inflation signalsFHFA proposals: LLPAs, 50-year mortgages, assumable loansMarket Advantage insights: lock volume, rate spreads, servicing multiplesEmerging HELOC models resembling reverse mortgagesTune in to gain valuable insights to help you stay ahead and maximize your results in the ever-evolving mortgage landscape.Optimal Insights Team:Jim Glennon, Vice President of Hedging and Trading Client ServicesAlex Hebner, Hedge Account Manager, Optimal BlueJames Cahill, MSF/MSR Account ManagerMarket Advantage Section:Mike Vough, Head of Corporate Strategy, Optimal BlueBrennan O’Connell, Director of Data Solutions, Optimal BlueOptimal Blue Production Team:Executive Producer: Sara HoltzProducer: Matt GilhoolyCommentary included in the podcast shall not be construed as, nor is Optimal Blue providing, any legal, trading, hedging, or financial advice.Mentioned in this episode:Lock Loans on the Go – Mobile Locking in the Optimal Blue Mobile AppTraditional loan locking slows decisions and ties you to a desk, but borrowers expect instant answers. Optimal Blue’s Mobile Locking changes the game. With our native iOS and Android app, loan officers can access their pipeline, run pricing, and lock loans anytime, anywhere – fast, secure, and accurate. No delays. No extra cost. Just seamless mobility that enhances the borrower experience. Download the Optimal Blue Mobile App today and start locking loans on the go.Mobile LockingSchedule is Live – Optimal Blue SummitThe Optimal Blue Summit 2026 agenda is live! Join us February 23–25 at Talking Stick Resort & Conference Center in Scottsdale, AZ for three days of innovation, insights, and networking. Explore tracks like Activate AI & Automation, Grow Your Profitability, Ensure End-to-End Results, and Tech Showcases & Training – all designed to deliver measurable ROI. Hear from featured speakers including Olympic legend Michael Phelps, MBA President Bob Broeksmit, Chief Economist Michael Fratantoni, and leaders from Optimal Blue. Check out the full agenda and register now at Summit.OptimalBlue.com. Use code HOLIDAY for discounted pricing – available for a limited time. Don’t miss your chance to shape the future of mortgage technology!Summit - OI