How election forecasting has similarities to sports analysis

Episode 670 of the Sports Media Podcast with Richard Deitsch features Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the University of Virginia Center for Politics’ nonpartisan election forecasting newsletter. Kondik analyzes American campaigns and elections and is frequently a guest on places such as C-Span. In this podcast Kondik discusses the parallels between election forecasting and those obsessed by sports or sports analytics; how he looks at data to make election predictions; whether he should be judged on the accuracy of his predictions; where Sabato's Crystal Ball has the Senate and House races right now; the unlikely Senate races in Kansas, Iowa and South Carolina; how he sees Texas, Maine and Minnesota right now; outlier polls; why you should be focusing on Kentucky's Sixth Congressional District on Election night; when he starts thinking about the 2028 race; his Election night gig in NYC with the CBS Decision Desk as part of their results-focused "Nerd Show" stream and more. You can subscribe to this podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify and more.